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Mjallby AIF crestMjallby AIF
v
AIK Stockholm crestAIK Stockholm

Allsvenskan | Sat 11 Jul, 14:00

Mjallby AIF v AIK Stockholm Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 03:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Allsvenskan clash between Mjallby AIF and AIK Stockholm features two mid-table sides separated by a single point, both eager to improve their league standing. Recent matches have shown a competitive edge with physical intensity likely to rise, as both teams have averaged multiple fouls and cards per game. The tactical setup suggests a battle for midfield control, with neither side shying away from aggressive challenges. This match promises a combative atmosphere where disciplinary actions could be frequent, reflecting the stakes and the teams' styles.

BT4Y match pick

Over 3.5 Cards

  • Mjallby AIF averages 2 yellow cards per game, AIK Stockholm 3.6, indicating a physical contest.
  • Both teams have high fouling rates, with AIK's V. Andersson winning 4.88 fouls per 90 minutes.
  • Recent form shows both sides accumulating points but with aggressive defensive play.
  • Player data highlights several players with notable card risks, including I. Adewale (Mjallby) and D. Beširović (AIK).

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 74.4% chance for over 3.5 cards, supported by both teams' aggressive defensive styles and high fouling rates. AIK Stockholm's average of 3.6 yellow cards per game and Mjallby AIF's 2 yellows per game underpin the likelihood of multiple cautions. Key players such as I. Beširović contribute to the card risk profile, while midfield battles and tactical intensity suggest sustained pressure and fouling. The data quality is solid with no limitations, reinforcing in this card market prediction.

Mjallby AIF average yellow cards2 per game
Positive
AIK Stockholm average yellow cards3.6 per game
Strong positive
Key players with card riskI. Adewale, D. Beširović
Positive
Fouls won by AIK's V. Andersson4.88 per 90 minutes
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a physically intense match as Mjallby AIF and AIK Stockholm contest midfield control, leading to frequent fouls and cautions. The data shows both teams have high card averages and players with notable disciplinary risks, making over 3.5 cards a plausible outcome in this competitive fixture.

Main risk

The main risk is a potential change in referee strictness or tactical adjustments reducing fouls and cards, which could lower the total cards below 3.5.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · cards market

“This fixture's aggressive midfield battles and key players prone to fouls make the over 3.5 cards market a compelling angle, reflecting the combative nature of both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

Mjallby AIF averages 2 yellow cards per game, AIK Stockholm 3.6, indicating a physical contest.

Both teams have high fouling rates, with AIK's V. Andersson winning 4.88 fouls per 90 minutes.

Recent form shows both sides accumulating points but with aggressive defensive play.

Player data highlights several players with notable card risks, including I. Adewale (Mjallby) and D. Beširović (AIK).

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.7, indicating tight but competitive games.
  • The tempo and physicality in these encounters often lead to fouls and cards, suggesting a trend towards multiple cautions in this fixture's context.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mjallby AIF2
Avg goals scored
AIK Stockholm1.4
Mjallby AIF1.6
Avg goals conceded
AIK Stockholm2
Mjallby AIF80%
BTTS rate
AIK Stockholm80%
Mjallby AIF40%
Over 2.5 goals
AIK Stockholm80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have moderate scoring rates but high BTTS percentages at 80%, indicating open play that can lead to fouls and cards. The average 1.7 goals in their head-to-head matches suggests competitive encounters where physicality often escalates, supporting the likelihood of multiple cautions.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
AIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
AIK Stockholm Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The over 3.5 cards market is supported by clear statistical evidence of both teams' aggressive play styles and card accumulation. With no price data available, the model's 74.4% probability indicates a strong likelihood rather than a value bet, suggesting this market is a solid tactical read rather than a price-driven opportunity.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Mjallby AIF3.8
Avg corners for
AIK Stockholm6.2
Mjallby AIF8.6
Avg total corners
AIK Stockholm12.8
Mjallby AIF2
Avg yellow cards
AIK Stockholm3.6
Mjallby AIF11.4
Avg shots
AIK Stockholm13
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 64% · edge +2.8 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
AIK Stockholm averages 6.2 corners per game and 3.6 yellow cards, while Mjallby AIF averages 3.8 corners and 2 yellows. The higher shot volumes and sustained pressure from AIK contribute to more fouls and disciplinary actions, reinforcing the over 3.5 cards scenario.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mjallby AIF

DDDLW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
03 Jul 2026A Sirius4-4
25 May 2026A IFK Goteborg1-1
21 May 2026A IF Elfsborg1-1
17 May 2026H BK Hacken0-1
09 May 2026A Degerfors IF4-1

AIK Stockholm

WLWDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
05 Jul 2026A IFK Goteborg2-1
30 May 2026H Sirius0-3
24 May 2026A Hammarby FF2-1
17 May 2026A Vasteras SK FK1-1
10 May 2026H Djurgardens IF2-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 55% · edge +13.3 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
AIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
AIK Stockholm Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Mjallby AIF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Recent form shows Mjallby AIF and AIK Stockholm accumulating 6 and 7 points respectively, with both teams maintaining aggressive defensive approaches. The card averages remain consistent, reflecting ongoing physicality and supporting the over 3.5 cards pick based on current momentum and discipline trends.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Mjallby AIF wins
3Draws
5AIK Stockholm wins
20 Jul 2025Mjallby AIF v AIK Stockholm2-0
11 May 2025AIK Stockholm v Mjallby AIF2-1
11 Aug 2024AIK Stockholm v Mjallby AIF1-0
13 Apr 2024Mjallby AIF v AIK Stockholm1-1
09 Mar 2024Mjallby AIF v AIK Stockholm1-3
07 Oct 2023AIK Stockholm v Mjallby AIF1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
AIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Mjallby AIF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The ten previous meetings between Mjallby AIF and AIK Stockholm have averaged 1.7 goals per game, reflecting balanced contests. While goal trends are moderate, the physical nature of these matches has historically resulted in frequent fouls and cards, providing background support for the over 3.5 cards prediction.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Mjallby AIF11
Played
AIK Stockholm11
Mjallby AIF1.6
Avg goals for
AIK Stockholm1.3
Mjallby AIF1.4
Avg goals against
AIK Stockholm1.5
Mjallby AIF3
Clean sheets
AIK Stockholm1
Best odds for this sectionAIK Stockholm to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 27% · edge +11.6 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Load more odds for this section
AIK Stockholm Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Mjallby AIF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Season-long data reveals AIK Stockholm's higher average of 3.6 yellow cards per game compared to Mjallby AIF's 2, highlighting a more aggressive defensive style. Combined with fouling patterns and tactical setups, these stats underpin the expectation of multiple cards in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Mjallby AIF16114433
11AIK Stockholm1511434-3
Both teams sit mid-table with close points, increasing the stakes for a competitive match. While league position alone is not decisive, the pressure to secure points may intensify physical contests and disciplinary incidents, aligning with the over 3.5 cards forecast.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5
80%AIK Stockholm Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.7, indicating tight but competitive games. The tempo and physicality in these encounters often lead to fouls and cards, suggesting a trend towards multiple cautions in this fixture's context.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Orgryte IS v BK HackenAllsvenskan · Sat 11 Jul 16:30

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