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Mirassol crestMirassol
v
Internacional crestInternacional

Serie A | Sat 17 Oct, 00:00

Mirassol v Internacional Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 09:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mirassol and Internacional face off in a Serie A clash where both teams have shown a tendency to find the net recently. Mirassol ranks 15th with 33 points, while Internacional sits just below in 17th with 32 points, making this a crucial fixture for both sides seeking to climb the table. Both teams average around 1.4 goals scored per game, with Internacional conceding slightly more. The match promises open play as both sides look to capitalize on attacking opportunities, setting the stage for a contest where goals from both teams are likely.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Mirassol scores in 60% of matches, Internacional in 80%.
  • Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game this season.
  • Recent form shows Mirassol with 8 points and Internacional with 7 in last five matches.
  • Head-to-head average goals per match is 3, indicating open games.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Mirassol and Internacional both have solid BTTS rates (60% and 80% respectively), supported by average goals scored around 1.4 per game. The recent form data confirms consistent scoring, while the head-to-head history shows an average of three goals per match, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. No price warning is needed as the offer positive value with a 17.2% edge.

BTTS Rate Mirassol60%
Positive
BTTS Rate Internacional80%
Strong positive
Average Goals per Game~1.4 each
Positive
Recent Form Points (Last 5)Mirassol 8, Internacional 7
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Mirassol and Internacional have shown consistent scoring ability and defensive lapses, making both teams to score a logical pick. The attacking roles and recent form data suggest an open game where both sides will find opportunities to score, supported by their historical head-to-head goal averages.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“This fixture features two teams with attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a compelling angle. The high BTTS rates and recent scoring trends underline the likelihood of goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Mirassol scores in 60% of matches, Internacional in 80%.

Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game this season.

Recent form shows Mirassol with 8 points and Internacional with 7 in last five matches.

Head-to-head average goals per match is 3, indicating open games.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3 per game, indicating a tendency for open, attacking contests.
  • Mirassol's 40% and Internacional's 60% over 2.5 goals rates this season suggest a moderate likelihood of a higher-scoring game, complementing the BTTS trend and supporting an expectation of multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mirassol1.4
Avg goals scored
Internacional1.4
Mirassol1
Avg goals conceded
Internacional1.4
Mirassol60%
BTTS rate
Internacional80%
Mirassol40%
Over 2.5 goals
Internacional60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have strong BTTS rates this season, with Mirassol scoring in 60% of matches and Internacional in 80%. Their average goals scored per game hover around 1.4, and the head-to-head average of three goals per match indicates open, attacking contests likely to produce goals from both sides.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Mirassol Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Mirassol to WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Internacional to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
Internacional Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
The 73.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Mirassol show a 60% BTTS rate and Internacional show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mirassol

LDWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
11 Oct 2026A Bahia0-1
07 Oct 2026A RB Bragantino1-1
19 Sep 2026H Botafogo2-0
13 Sep 2026H Vitoria2-2
06 Sep 2026A Coritiba2-1

Internacional

DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Gremio1-1
07 Oct 2026H Corinthians2-1
20 Sep 2026A Sao Paulo0-1
12 Sep 2026A Chapecoense-sc2-1
06 Sep 2026H Santos2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 74% · edge +3.8 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Mirassol Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Mirassol to WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Internacional to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
Internacional Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form data shows Mirassol earning 8 points and Internacional 7 points in their last five matches, with both teams maintaining goal-scoring consistency. Mirassol concedes slightly less than Internacional, but both have demonstrated the ability to find the net regularly, supporting the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Mirassol Over 2.5
60%Internacional Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3 per game, indicating a tendency for open, attacking contests. Mirassol's 40% and Internacional's 60% over 2.5 goals rates this season suggest a moderate likelihood of a higher-scoring game, complementing the BTTS trend and supporting an expectation of multiple goals.

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