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Mirassol crestMirassol
v
Chapecoense-sc crestChapecoense-sc

Serie A | Sun 10 May, 22:30

Mirassol v Chapecoense-sc Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.95, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 51% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +24.7-point value edge.
  • Mirassol have scored in 60% of the recent sample and Chapecoense-sc have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 80%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Mirassol have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Chapecoense-sc have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.95, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +24.7 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.8
Bet HERE @ 3.8
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Bet HERE @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Mirassol Over 2.5
60%Chapecoense-sc Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Mirassol

WLWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
04 May 2026H Corinthians2-1
26 Apr 2026A Sao Paulo0-1
19 Apr 2026A Internacional2-1
11 Apr 2026H Bahia1-2
06 Apr 2026H RB Bragantino0-1

Chapecoense-sc

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 7L
03 May 2026H RB Bragantino1-2
27 Apr 2026A Fluminense1-2
18 Apr 2026H Botafogo1-4
12 Apr 2026A Atletico Paranaense0-2
05 Apr 2026H Vitoria1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 26% · edge +15.7 pts
3.8
Bet HERE @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Bet HERE @ 6.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Mirassol1
Avg goals scored
Chapecoense-sc0.8
Mirassol1.2
Avg goals conceded
Chapecoense-sc2.2
Mirassol60%
BTTS rate
Chapecoense-sc80%
Mirassol60%
Over 2.5 goals
Chapecoense-sc60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +24.7 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

4Mirassol wins
0Draws
0Chapecoense-sc wins
24 Nov 2024Mirassol v Chapecoense-sc1-0
05 Aug 2024Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol0-1
29 Jul 2023Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol0-1
15 Apr 2023Mirassol v Chapecoense-sc1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +24.7 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Bet HERE @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Mirassol5.4
Avg corners for
Chapecoense-sc4
Mirassol13
Avg total corners
Chapecoense-sc7.8
Mirassol3.6
Avg yellow cards
Chapecoense-sc2.4
Mirassol11.6
Avg shots
Chapecoense-sc13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +8.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleNathan Fogaça Anytime GoalscorerNathan Fogaça · 2 goals · 2.55 SOT/90
80/100
Bet HERE
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Nathan Fogaça 1+ Shot On TargetNathan Fogaça · 2.55 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Nathan Fogaça 2+ ShotsNathan Fogaça · 4.33 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Jean Carlos To Assist / Key Pass AngleJean Carlos · 2 assists · 2.42 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
Ênio To Be FouledÊnio · 3.8 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
José Aldo Card RiskJosé Aldo · 7 yellows · 1.77 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Nathan Fogaça
Nathan FogaçaMirassol · Attacker
Goal threat77/100
Shots /904.33
SOT /902.55
Neto Pessoa
Neto PessoaChapecoense-sc · Attacker
Goal threat46/100
Shots /903.46
SOT /901.38
Alesson
AlessonMirassol · Attacker
Goal threat43/100
Shots /901.76
SOT /901.17
Renato Marques
Renato MarquesMirassol · Attacker
Goal threat27/100
Shots /902.86
SOT /901.43
José Aldo
José AldoMirassol · Midfielder
Goal threat20/100
Shots /900.89
SOT /900.3
Edson
EdsonMirassol · Attacker
Goal threat26/100
Shots /901.57
SOT /900.31
Everton
EvertonChapecoense-sc · Defender
Goal threat15/100
Shots /900.87
SOT /900.22
Season team stats

Serie A

Mirassol14
Played
Chapecoense-sc14
Mirassol1.1
Avg goals for
Chapecoense-sc1
Mirassol1.4
Avg goals against
Chapecoense-sc1.9
Mirassol0
Clean sheets
Chapecoense-sc1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 26% · edge +15.7 pts
3.8
Bet HERE @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Bet HERE @ 6.5
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
18Mirassol1314347-4
20Chapecoense-sc914167-13

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.