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Match Context
Fixture analysis
Millwall face Hull City in Championship on Mon 11 May, 20:00. Keeping eleven clean sheets across 23 league matches at home has been the platform for their third-place finish. Millwall are unbeaten in six matches and have won four of their last six at The Den without conceding.
Millwall
Hull CityChampionship | Mon 11 May, 20:00
Millwall v Hull City Stats
Data last updated: Sat 30 May 2026, 15:21 UK timeMillwall Win
- At 4/6, Millwall Win implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 71%.
- Millwall have kept eleven clean sheets at home this season and produced the clearer openings in the first leg.
- Millwall have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hull City.
- Millwall have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Millwall Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Millwall sit 3 in the table, while Hull City sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 71% for Millwall Win sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Millwall have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hull City. Millwall have kept eleven clean sheets at home this season and produced the clearer openings in the first leg.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Millwall Win is the preferred angle because millwall have kept eleven clean sheets at home this season and produced the clearer openings in the first leg. Millwall have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hull City. The Lions do not always overwhelm opponents with relentless attacking football, but they are extremely difficult to break down once they establish rhythm and territory.
The Lions do not always overwhelm opponents with relentless attacking football, but they are extremely difficult to break down once they establish rhythm and territory.
Key Data Signals
Millwall Win evidence
Millwall have kept eleven clean sheets at home this season and produced the clearer openings in the first.
Millwall have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hull City.
Millwall have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Millwall Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Millwall sit 3 in the table, while Hull City sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Millwall Win notes
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Millwall
Hull City
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Championship
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Millwall | 83 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Hull City | 73 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 4 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
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