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Middlesbrough crestMiddlesbrough
v
Wrexham crestWrexham

Championship | Wed 27 Jan, 19:45

Middlesbrough v Wrexham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 06:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Middlesbrough face Wrexham in Championship on Wed 27 Jan, 19:45. Their previous league meetings also saw goals from both sides, supporting a Both Teams To Score outcome. Middlesbrough’s strong home resilience and attacking options contrast with Wrexham’s defensive frailties and limited away wins. Middlesbrough’s defensive shape will be tested whenever Wrexham increase the tempo.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 15/2, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 12%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Both Middlesbrough and Wrexham have strong attacking records but defensive vulnerabilities, highlighted by Middlesbrough conceding three goals in their last friendly and Wrexham's 65.
  • Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 8 for Wrexham.
  • Middlesbrough sit 3 in the table, while Wrexham sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 12% implied by the current price. Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 8 for Wrexham. Both Middlesbrough and Wrexham have strong attacking records but defensive vulnerabilities, highlighted by Middlesbrough conceding three goals in their last friendly and Wrexham's 65.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 12% implied
Strong positive
Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Middlesbrough sit 3 in the table, while Wrexham sit 14.Visible data support
Positive
Both Middlesbrough and Wrexham have strong attacking records.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Middlesbrough Win is the preferred angle because both Middlesbrough and Wrexham have strong attacking records but defensive vulnerabilities, highlighted by Middlesbrough conceding three goals in their last friendly and Wrexham's 65 goals conceded last season. Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 8 for Wrexham. They scored that scoring level across 46 regular-season Championship games last term, an average of more than one and a half goals per match, but still drew 14 times.

Main risk

They scored 72 goals across 46 regular-season Championship games last term, an average of more than one and a half goals per match, but still drew 14 times.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Both Middlesbrough and Wrexham have strong attacking records but defensive vulnerabilities, highlighted by Middlesbrough conceding three goals in.

Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 8 for Wrexham.

Middlesbrough have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Middlesbrough Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Middlesbrough sit 3 in the table, while Wrexham sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Middlesbrough2
    Avg goals scored
    Wrexham1.2
    Middlesbrough1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Wrexham1.6
    Middlesbrough80%
    BTTS rate
    Wrexham40%
    Middlesbrough60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Wrexham60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Middlesbrough

    DDWWD
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 1L
    19 Sep 2026A Birmingham2-2
    15 Sep 2026H Millwall2-2
    12 Sep 2026H Norwich4-3
    05 Sep 2026A QPR1-0
    02 Sep 2026A Burnley1-1

    Wrexham

    WLDDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 2L
    19 Sep 2026H Southampton2-1
    11 Sep 2026A West Ham0-6
    08 Sep 2026H Burnley1-1
    05 Sep 2026A Swansea0-0
    02 Sep 2026A Millwall3-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Middlesbrough Over 2.5
    60%Wrexham Over 2.5
    2.33H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Middlesbrough sit at 60% and Wrexham sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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