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Middlesbrough crestMiddlesbrough
v
Portsmouth crestPortsmouth

Championship | Sat 19 Dec, 15:00

Middlesbrough v Portsmouth Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 21:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Middlesbrough face Portsmouth in Championship on Sat 19 Dec, 15:00. Middlesbrough host Portsmouth at the Riverside in a tense Championship clash with form, pressure and contrasting styles set to shape the contest.

BT4Y best bet

Middlesbrough Win

  • At 23/10, Middlesbrough Win implies roughly 30%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • Both teams have scored in Portsmouth's last six away games, pointing toward a high-event clash at the Riverside.
  • Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 10 for Portsmouth.
  • Portsmouth have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Middlesbrough Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Middlesbrough sit 1 in the table, while Portsmouth sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 45% for Middlesbrough Win sits against roughly 30% implied by the current price. Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 10 for Portsmouth. Both teams have scored in Portsmouth's last six away games, pointing toward a high-event clash at the Riverside.

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 30% implied
Strong positive
Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points.Visible data support
Positive
Portsmouth have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams have scored in Portsmouth's last six away.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Middlesbrough Win is the preferred angle because both teams have scored in Portsmouth's last six away games, pointing toward a high-event clash at the Riverside. Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 10 for Portsmouth. They are winless in their last six, but they are not going quietly.

Main risk

They are winless in their last six, but they are not going quietly.

Key Data Signals

Middlesbrough Win evidence

Both teams have scored in Portsmouth's last six away games, pointing toward a high-event clash at the Riverside.

Middlesbrough have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 10 for Portsmouth.

Portsmouth have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Middlesbrough Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Middlesbrough sit 1 in the table, while Portsmouth sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Middlesbrough Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Middlesbrough2.6
    Avg goals scored
    Portsmouth1.4
    Middlesbrough1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Portsmouth1
    Middlesbrough80%
    BTTS rate
    Portsmouth60%
    Middlesbrough80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Portsmouth40%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Middlesbrough

    WDWWD
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 4D 0L
    23 Oct 2026A Bolton5-1
    17 Oct 2026H Cardiff2-2
    13 Oct 2026A Stoke City3-2
    10 Oct 2026H Wolves1-0
    19 Sep 2026A Birmingham2-2

    Portsmouth

    WDWWL
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    24 Oct 2026H Millwall2-1
    20 Oct 2026A Wolves1-1
    17 Oct 2026A Norwich1-0
    14 Oct 2026H Sheffield Utd3-2
    11 Oct 2026A Southampton0-1

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Middlesbrough Over 2.5
    40%Portsmouth Over 2.5
    2.83H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Middlesbrough sit at 80% and Portsmouth sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.83 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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