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Marseille crestMarseille
v
Rennes crestRennes

Ligue 1 | Sun 17 May, 20:00

Marseille v Rennes Stats

BT4Y best bet

Rennes to Win

  • At 3.4, Rennes to Win is priced at roughly 29% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +40.6-point value edge.
  • Marseille have a recent record of 2W-1D-2L, while Rennes come in at 4W-0D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Rennes to Win angle: Marseille have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Rennes to Win angle: Rennes have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.4, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 29% · edge +40.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Marseille Over 2.5
100%Rennes Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Marseille

WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
10 May 2026A Le Havre1-0
02 May 2026A Nantes0-3
26 Apr 2026H Nice1-1
18 Apr 2026A Lorient0-2
10 Apr 2026H Metz3-1

Rennes

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
10 May 2026H Paris FC2-1
03 May 2026A Lyon2-4
26 Apr 2026H Nantes2-1
19 Apr 2026A Strasbourg3-0
11 Apr 2026H Angers2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 29% · edge +40.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Marseille1
Avg goals scored
Rennes2.2
Marseille1.4
Avg goals conceded
Rennes1.4
Marseille40%
BTTS rate
Rennes80%
Marseille40%
Over 2.5 goals
Rennes100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

6Marseille wins
2Draws
2Rennes wins
03 Feb 2026Marseille v Rennes3-0
15 Aug 2025Rennes v Marseille1-0
17 May 2025Marseille v Rennes4-2
11 Jan 2025Rennes v Marseille1-2
17 Mar 2024Rennes v Marseille2-0
21 Jan 2024Rennes v Marseille1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 29% · edge +40.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Marseille5.8
Avg corners for
Rennes7.8
Marseille9
Avg total corners
Rennes12.2
Marseille2.6
Avg yellow cards
Rennes1.4
Marseille16.4
Avg shots
Rennes15.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 55% · edge +11.2 pts
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleM. Greenwood Anytime GoalscorerM. Greenwood · 16 goals · 1.75 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Ange Lago 1+ Shot On TargetAnge Lago · 3.1 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
M. Zabiri 2+ ShotsM. Zabiri · 5.71 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
L. Blas To Assist / Key Pass AngleL. Blas · 4 assists · 2.79 key passes/90
73/100
Bet HERE
B. Embolo To Be FouledB. Embolo · 2.79 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
B. Nadir Card RiskB. Nadir · 5 yellows · 3.62 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
M. Greenwood
M. GreenwoodMarseille · Attacker
Goal threat96/100
Shots /903.13
SOT /901.75
E. Lepaul
E. LepaulRennes · Attacker
Goal threat87/100
Shots /902.31
SOT /901.35
P. Aubameyang
P. AubameyangMarseille · Attacker
Goal threat77/100
Shots /902.33
SOT /901.5
Ange Lago
Ange LagoMarseille · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /903.1
SOT /903.1
M. Zabiri
M. ZabiriRennes · Attacker
Goal threat52/100
Shots /905.71
SOT /902.86
B. Nadir
B. NadirMarseille · Midfielder
Goal threat13/100
Shots /900.6
SOT /900.15
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Marseille34
Played
Rennes34
Marseille1.9
Avg goals for
Rennes1.7
Marseille1.3
Avg goals against
Rennes1.5
Marseille9
Clean sheets
Rennes10
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 29% · edge +40.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Marseille59341851118
6Rennes593417899

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

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