Mansfield Town
Notts CountyLeague One | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Mansfield Town v Notts County Stats
Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 17:05 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Mansfield Town hosts Notts County in a League One clash where Mansfield's recent form and home advantage set a positive tone. Mansfield has collected 11 points recently, scoring 2.4 goals per game while conceding just one, reflecting solid attacking and defensive balance. Notts County struggles with only 4 points in the same period and a lower scoring rate of 0.8 goals per game. Mansfield's higher league position and stronger offensive output suggest they will look to control the match tempo and press their visitors for goals at their home ground.
Mansfield Town to Win
- Mansfield Town has earned 11 points recently versus Notts County's 4 points.
- Mansfield averages 2.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Notts County's 0.8.
- Mansfield's shots per game (17.4) nearly double Notts County's (10.2), indicating attacking control.
- Mansfield ranks 10th in the league, ahead of 19th-placed Notts County.
- Mansfield's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, showing frequent high-scoring matches.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Mansfield Town to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, attacking efficiency, and league standing. Mansfield's strong shot volume and goal conversion rates contrast with Notts County's struggles in front of goal and lower shot accuracy. The price at 1.8 offers positive value against the implied 55.6% chance. This pick is supported by consistent offensive pressure and defensive solidity from Mansfield, making them the clear favorite in this fixture.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Mansfield Town's superior recent form and attacking firepower make them the logical pick to secure victory. Their ability to generate significantly more shots and goals than Notts County, combined with a higher league standing, underpins this selection. Mansfield's home advantage and momentum suggest they will control the match and convert chances effectively.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Mansfield Town's consistent offensive pressure and higher league position give them a clear edge over Notts County, who have struggled to produce goals and points recently. Expect Mansfield to leverage their home form and attacking depth to claim the win.”
Key Data Signals
Mansfield Town to Win evidence
Mansfield Town has earned 11 points recently versus Notts County's 4 points.
Mansfield averages 2.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Notts County's 0.8.
Mansfield's shots per game (17.4) nearly double Notts County's (10.2), indicating attacking control.
Mansfield ranks 10th in the league, ahead of 19th-placed Notts County.
What To Watch In The Data
Mansfield Town to Win notes
- In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating a moderately open game historically.
- Mansfield's recent matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting a fast tempo and attacking intent that could push this fixture towards a higher goal tally, consistent with their offensive strengths.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Mansfield Town
Notts County
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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