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Manchester City W crestManchester City W
v
Liverpool W crestLiverpool W

FA WSL | Sun 03 May, 12:00

Manchester City W v Liverpool W Stats

BT4Y best bet

Liverpool W Draw No Bet

  • At 6.4, Liverpool W Draw No Bet is priced at roughly 16% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 42%, so the current line is showing a +26.4-point value edge.
  • Manchester City W have a recent record of 3W-1D-1L, while Liverpool W come in at 2W-1D-2L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Liverpool W Draw No Bet angle: Manchester City W have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 3.2 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Liverpool W Draw No Bet angle: Liverpool W have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 6.4, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 16% · edge +26.4 pts
6.4
Bet HERE @ 6.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%
7
Bet HERE @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Manchester City W Over 2.5
20%Liverpool W Over 2.5
3.9H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Manchester City W

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
25 Apr 2026A Brighton W2-3
28 Mar 2026A Manchester United W3-0
21 Mar 2026H Tottenham Hotspur W5-2
15 Mar 2026A Aston Villa W0-0
13 Feb 2026H Leicester City WFC6-0

Liverpool W

LWDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
26 Apr 2026H West Ham W0-1
28 Mar 2026A Everton W3-2
22 Mar 2026A Brighton W0-0
15 Mar 2026H Leicester City WFC2-0
15 Feb 2026A Chelsea W0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 16% · edge +26.4 pts
6.4
Bet HERE @ 6.4
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.04
Bet HERE @ 1.04
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%
7
Bet HERE @ 7
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Manchester City W3.2
Avg goals scored
Liverpool W1
Manchester City W1
Avg goals conceded
Liverpool W1
Manchester City W40%
BTTS rate
Liverpool W20%
Manchester City W80%
Over 2.5 goals
Liverpool W20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 27% · edge +20 pts
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

9Manchester City W wins
0Draws
1Liverpool W wins
12 Oct 2025Liverpool W v Manchester City W1-2
16 Feb 2025Manchester City W v Liverpool W4-0
13 Oct 2024Liverpool W v Manchester City W1-2
30 Mar 2024Liverpool W v Manchester City W1-4
21 Jan 2024Manchester City W v Liverpool W5-1
08 Nov 2023Liverpool W v Manchester City W3-4
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 27% · edge +20 pts
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%
7
Bet HERE @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Manchester City W7.2
Avg corners for
Liverpool W5.8
Manchester City W10
Avg total corners
Liverpool W10.2
Manchester City W0.8
Avg yellow cards
Liverpool W1.4
Manchester City W18.6
Avg shots
Liverpool W10.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 51% · edge +3 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleK. Shaw Anytime GoalscorerK. Shaw · 16 goals · 2.58 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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K. Shaw 1+ Shot On TargetK. Shaw · 2.58 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
K. Shaw 2+ ShotsK. Shaw · 4.81 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
L. Hemp To Assist / Key Pass AngleL. Hemp · 6 assists · 3.21 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
C. Holland To Be FouledC. Holland · 2.29 fouls won/90
77/100
Bet HERE
S. Haug Card RiskS. Haug · 1 yellows · 0 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
K. Shaw
K. ShawManchester City W · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /904.81
SOT /902.58
Kerolin
KerolinManchester City W · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /902.22
SOT /901.94
V. Miedema
V. MiedemaManchester City W · Midfielder
Goal threat96/100
Shots /902.97
SOT /901.61
G. Clinton
G. ClintonManchester City W · Midfielder
Goal threat49/100
Shots /903.24
SOT /902.03
S. Haug
S. HaugLiverpool W · Attacker
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
L. Parry
L. ParryLiverpool W · Defender
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
A. Csillag
A. CsillagLiverpool W · Attacker
Goal threat51/100
Shots /902.47
SOT /901.64
Season team stats

FA WSL

Manchester City W21
Played
Liverpool W21
Manchester City W2.8
Avg goals for
Liverpool W1
Manchester City W0.9
Avg goals against
Liverpool W1.5
Manchester City W8
Clean sheets
Liverpool W4
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 16% · edge +26.4 pts
6.4
Bet HERE @ 6.4
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Manchester City W5221171340
11Liverpool W17214512-11

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.