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Manchester City crestManchester City
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Liverpool crestLiverpool

Premier League | Sat 08 May, 15:00

Manchester City v Liverpool Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 17:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Manchester City face Liverpool in Premier League on Sat 08 May, 15:00. Manchester City’s flawless start, scoring 13 goals in five league matches and Haaland’s prolific scoring record, underpin in the -0.25 Asian Handicap. Liverpool vs Manchester City Preview: Unbeaten Rivals Collide in High-Stakes Anfield Showdown.

BT4Y best bet

Manchester City Asian Handicap -0

  • At 8/1, Manchester City Asian Handicap -0 implies roughly 11%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 26%.
  • However, City’s preparations have been dominated by developments away from football.
  • Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 10 for Liverpool.
  • Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Manchester City Asian Handicap -0 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Manchester City sit 1 in the table, while Liverpool sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 26% for Manchester City Asian Handicap -0 sits against roughly 11% implied by the current price. Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 10 for Liverpool. However, City’s preparations have been dominated by developments away from football.

Model chance vs price26% model chance against roughly 11% implied
Strong positive
Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15.Visible data support
Positive
Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
However, City’s preparations have been dominated by developments away.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Manchester City Win is the preferred angle because however, City’s preparations have been dominated by developments away from football. Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 10 for Liverpool. However, their ability to match Manchester City’s scoring rate is compromised by significant attacking absences.

Main risk

However, their ability to match Manchester City’s scoring rate is compromised by significant attacking absences.

Key Data Signals

Manchester City Asian Handicap -0 evidence

However, City’s preparations have been dominated by developments away from football.

Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 10 for Liverpool.

Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Manchester City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Manchester City sit 1 in the table, while Liverpool sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Manchester City Asian Handicap -0 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Manchester City2.6
    Avg goals scored
    Liverpool1
    Manchester City1
    Avg goals conceded
    Liverpool0.8
    Manchester City40%
    BTTS rate
    Liverpool20%
    Manchester City60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Liverpool40%

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Manchester City

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 0D 0L
    17 Oct 2026H Ipswich3-2
    11 Oct 2026A Liverpool3-0
    20 Sep 2026H Sunderland5-3
    13 Sep 2026A Manchester United1-0
    05 Sep 2026H Coventry1-0

    Liverpool

    WLWDW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 1L
    17 Oct 2026A Brentford2-1
    11 Oct 2026H Manchester City0-3
    20 Sep 2026A Bournemouth1-0
    12 Sep 2026H Fulham0-0
    04 Sep 2026A Ipswich2-0

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Manchester City Over 2.5
    40%Liverpool Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Manchester City sit at 60% and Liverpool sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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