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Manchester City crestManchester City
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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

Premier League | Wed 13 May, 20:00

Manchester City v Crystal Palace Stats

Data last updated: Thu 27 Aug 2026, 23:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Manchester City face Crystal Palace in Premier League on Wed 13 May, 20:00. Crystal Palace host Manchester City at Selhurst Park on Friday with both sides already offering reasons to resist an overly simple reading of the fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Man City to win and both teams to score

  • At 11/5, Man City to win and both teams to score implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 42%.
  • City’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support this outcome despite City’s recent defensive concessions and Palace’s goalkeeper doubts.
  • Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Manchester City on 13 and Crystal Palace on 5.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 40% for Manchester City and 60% for Crystal Palace.
  • Man City to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.4 for Manchester City and 1 for Crystal Palace are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 42% for Man City to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Manchester City on 13 and Crystal Palace on 5. City’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support this outcome despite City’s recent defensive concessions and Palace’s goalkeeper doubts.

Model chance vs price42% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Positive
Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
City’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Manchester City Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because city’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support this outcome despite City’s recent defensive concessions and Palace’s goalkeeper doubts. Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Manchester City on 13 and Crystal Palace on 5. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Man City to win and both teams to score evidence

City’s top scorers and Palace’s home scoring record support this outcome despite City’s recent defensive concessions and Palace’s.

Manchester City need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Manchester City on 13 and Crystal Palace on 5.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 40% for Manchester City and 60% for Crystal Palace.

Manchester City Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.4 for Manchester City and 1 for Crystal Palace are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Man City to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Manchester City10
Avg corners for
Crystal Palace4
Manchester City13.8
Avg total corners
Crystal Palace10.4
Manchester City1.6
Avg yellow cards
Crystal Palace1.4
Manchester City21.4
Avg shots
Crystal Palace12.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +5.1 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Manchester City2.4
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace1
Manchester City0.8
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace1.8
Manchester City40%
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace60%
Manchester City80%
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 51% · edge +12 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickManchester City to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 83% · edge -9.3 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Manchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Manchester City to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Manchester City

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 3D 0L
09 May 2026H Brentford3-0
04 May 2026A Everton3-3
22 Apr 2026A Burnley1-0
19 Apr 2026H Arsenal2-1
12 Apr 2026A Chelsea3-0

Crystal Palace

DLLDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
10 May 2026H Everton2-2
03 May 2026A Bournemouth0-3
25 Apr 2026A Liverpool1-3
20 Apr 2026H West Ham0-0
12 Apr 2026H Newcastle2-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 97% · edge -11.1 pts
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
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Manchester City to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Manchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Manchester City wins
3Draws
2Crystal Palace wins
14 Dec 2025Crystal Palace v Manchester City0-3
17 May 2025Crystal Palace v Manchester City1-0
12 Apr 2025Manchester City v Crystal Palace5-2
07 Dec 2024Crystal Palace v Manchester City2-2
06 Apr 2024Crystal Palace v Manchester City2-4
16 Dec 2023Manchester City v Crystal Palace2-2
Market aligned with main pickManchester City to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 83% · edge -9.3 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for Manchester City to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Premier League

Manchester City38
Played
Crystal Palace0
Manchester City2
Avg goals for
Crystal Palace-
Manchester City0.9
Avg goals against
Crystal Palace-
Manchester City16
Clean sheets
Crystal Palace-
Market aligned with main pickManchester City to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 83% · edge -9.3 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Load more odds for this section
Manchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Season data supports Manchester City to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Manchester City7838239642
15Crystal Palace4538111215-10
Manchester City sit in position 2, while Crystal Palace sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the Man City to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Manchester City Over 2.5
80%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Manchester City sit at 80% and Crystal Palace sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Manchester City v Crystal Palace prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Crystal Palace v Manchester CityPremier League · Fri 28 Aug 20:00

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