Manchester City

Bournemouth

Premier League | Sun 23 Aug, 14:00

Manchester City v Bournemouth Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Manchester City face Bournemouth in Premier League on Sun 23 Aug, 14:00. Manchester City have won all nine Premier League home meetings with Bournemouth, scoring 34 goals at an average of 3.8 per game.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Man City to win and both teams to score

Price warning: current odds imply about 40%, above the 22% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
At 6/4, Man City to win and both teams to score implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 22%.
Manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling Haaland’s strong early-season scoring underpin this pick.

Price warning

Man City to win and both teams to score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 40% while the model sits nearer 22% (-18.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Bournemouth Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 3.55.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 22% for Man City to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling Haaland’s strong early-season scoring underpin this pick.

Model chance vs price22% model chance against roughly 40% implied

Negative

Manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling.Article support

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge -18.1 pts

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Manchester City Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling Haaland’s strong early-season scoring underpin this pick. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Man City to win and both teams to score evidence

Manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling Haaland’s strong early-season scoring underpin this pick.

What To Watch In The Data

Man City to win and both teams to score notes

Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

8Manchester City wins

1Draws

1Bournemouth wins

19 May 2026Bournemouth v Manchester City1-1

02 Nov 2025Manchester City v Bournemouth3-1

20 May 2025Manchester City v Bournemouth3-1

30 Mar 2025Bournemouth v Manchester City1-2

02 Nov 2024Bournemouth v Manchester City2-1

24 Feb 2024Bournemouth v Manchester City0-1

Market aligned with main pickManchester City to WinBetUK guide price · Model 43% vs implied 68% · edge -24.6 pts

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The head-to-head sample gives context for Manchester City to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Manchester City

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Manchester City yet.

Bournemouth

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Bournemouth yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 89% · edge -16.3 pts

1.12

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Manchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.27

Check odds @ 1.27

Manchester City to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

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Useful next reads

more Premier League analysis Manchester City v Bournemouth prediction player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Manchester City-

Avg goals scored

Bournemouth-

Manchester City-

Avg goals conceded

Bournemouth-

Manchester City-

BTTS rate

Bournemouth-

Manchester City-

Over 2.5 goals

Bournemouth-

Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.6 pts

2.25

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickManchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 79% · edge -25.2 pts

1.27

Check odds @ 1.27

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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Manchester City to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

Manchester City Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

Manchester City0

Played

Bournemouth0

Manchester City0

Avg goals for

Bournemouth0

Manchester City0

Avg goals against

Bournemouth0

Manchester City0

Clean sheets

Bournemouth0

Market aligned with main pickManchester City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 79% · edge -25.2 pts

1.27

Check odds @ 1.27

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Manchester City to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

Season data supports Manchester City Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0

Manchester City sit in position 7, while Bournemouth sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the Man City to win and both teams to score assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Manchester City Over 2.5

-Bournemouth Over 2.5

3.6H2H avg goals

Manchester City’s flawless home record against Bournemouth and Erling Haaland’s strong early-season scoring underpin this pick.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Manchester City v Bournemouth Stats

Match Report

Man City to win and both teams to score

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Manchester City

Bournemouth

Continue the research

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Manchester City v Bournemouth Stats

Match Report

Man City to win and both teams to score

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Manchester City

Bournemouth

Continue the research

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Prediction context

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