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Mallorca crestMallorca
v
Cordoba crestCordoba

Segunda División | Sat 14 Nov, 17:30

Mallorca v Cordoba Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mallorca and Cordoba meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams show competitive recent form, with Cordoba slightly ahead in points over the last five matches. Mallorca has a solid defensive record but scores less frequently, while Cordoba's attack is more potent and dynamic. The match promises tactical intensity as Cordoba aims to capitalize on their offensive edge and recent momentum, challenging Mallorca's resilience in what could be a closely contested fixture with potential for an away upset.

BT4Y best bet

Cordoba to Win

  • Cordoba has a 48.2% to win, offering strong value at of 3.7.
  • Cordoba averages 1.8 goals per game versus Mallorca's 1.4, indicating a more threatening attack.
  • Cordoba's recent form yields 10 points in five matches, slightly better than Mallorca's 9 points.
  • Cordoba leads in shots on target per game (6.4) compared to Mallorca (4.2), showing offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Cordoba to win due to their superior recent form and attacking statistics, including higher goals per game and shots on target. The price offers significant value, with the market underestimating Cordoba's 48.2% win probability against an implied 27%. Cordoba's offensive players like Percan and V. Sanchez contribute strongly to this outlook, supported by their shot volumes and goal threat. Mallorca's solid defense is noted but may be tested by Cordoba's sustained pressure and attacking depth.

Model Win Probability48.2%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance42% model chance vs 27% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsCordoba 10 vs Mallorca 9
Positive
Shots on Target per GameCordoba 6.4 vs Mallorca 4.2
Positive
Goal Scoring RateCordoba 1.8 vs Mallorca 1.4
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cordoba's recent attacking form and shot volume suggest they can challenge Mallorca's defense effectively. The away side's momentum and offensive depth make them a strong candidate for victory, especially given Mallorca's lower scoring rate. This bet leverages Cordoba's upward trend and goal threat to anticipate an away win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Away win tactical and statistical case

“Cordoba's offensive metrics and recent form position them well to exploit Mallorca's moderate defensive vulnerabilities, making the away win a compelling tactical and statistical choice.”

Key Data Signals

Cordoba to Win evidence

Cordoba has a 48.2% to win, offering strong value at of 3.7.

Cordoba averages 1.8 goals per game versus Mallorca's 1.4, indicating a more threatening attack.

Cordoba's recent form yields 10 points in five matches, slightly better than Mallorca's 9 points.

Cordoba leads in shots on target per game (6.4) compared to Mallorca (4.2), showing offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Cordoba to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Cordoba has a 60% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, higher than Mallorca's 40%.
  • The average goals in their recent head-to-head is 3, indicating a tendency for open matches with scoring opportunities, supporting an attacking game tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mallorca1.4
Avg goals scored
Cordoba1.8
Mallorca0.8
Avg goals conceded
Cordoba0.8
Mallorca80%
BTTS rate
Cordoba40%
Mallorca40%
Over 2.5 goals
Cordoba60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 67% · edge +3.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Cordoba's higher goals per game and Mallorca's 80% BTTS rate suggest a match with scoring potential. However, Cordoba's lower BTTS rate (40%) indicates they may rely on efficient finishing rather than open exchanges, pointing to a tactical game with selective goal opportunities.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCordoba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
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Cordoba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 42% for Cordoba to Win sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Cordoba have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for Mallorca.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mallorca

WDDWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 4D 1L
02 Nov 2026H Cadiz2-1
24 Oct 2026A Leganes1-1
17 Oct 2026A Eibar1-1
11 Oct 2026H Las Palmas3-1
04 Oct 2026A Girona0-0

Cordoba

WDWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
07 Nov 2026H AD Ceuta FC3-0
31 Oct 2026A Celta de Vigo II2-2
24 Oct 2026H Eibar2-0
16 Oct 2026A Leganes1-0
10 Oct 2026A Eldense1-2
Market aligned with main pickCordoba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Cordoba Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Cordoba's recent form shows 10 points from the last five matches, slightly outperforming Mallorca's 9 points. This momentum, combined with a higher goal output, supports in Cordoba's ability to secure a win in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Mallorca Over 2.5
60%Cordoba Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Cordoba has a 60% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, higher than Mallorca's 40%. The average goals in their recent head-to-head is 3, indicating a tendency for open matches with scoring opportunities, supporting an attacking game tempo.

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