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Lyon crestLyon
v
Lorient crestLorient

Ligue 1 | Sun 17 Jan, 19:45

Lyon v Lorient Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 23:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lyon face Lorient in Ligue 1 on Sun 17 Jan, 19:45. Lyon have drawn their last three home league games against Lorient, suggesting a recurring pattern. They have gone six straight domestic matches without a win, and across their last four competitive matches they have scored only once.

BT4Y best bet

Wins if Lorient either win the match or if the game ends in a draw

  • Wins if Lorient either win the match or if the game ends in a draw is rated around 41% by the current BT4Y model.
  • A 1-1 scoreline aligns with their recent trends and Lyon’s defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Lyon.
  • Lorient have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Wins if Lorient either win the match or if the game ends in a draw angle more than a raw.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Wins if Lorient either win the match or if the game ends in a draw around 41% on the latest available numbers. Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Lyon. A 1-1 scoreline aligns with their recent trends and Lyon’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Lorient have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
A 1-1 scoreline aligns with their recent trends.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lyon Win is the preferred angle because a 1-1 scoreline aligns with their recent trends and Lyon’s defensive vulnerabilities. Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Lyon. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Wins if Lorient either win the match or if the game ends in a draw evidence

A 1-1 scoreline aligns with their recent trends and Lyon’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Lyon.

Lorient have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Lyon Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Wins if Lorient either win the match or if the game ends in a draw notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Lyon1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Lorient1
    Lyon1
    Avg goals conceded
    Lorient0.8
    Lyon40%
    BTTS rate
    Lorient40%
    Lyon60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Lorient40%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Lyon

    LWLWD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 2L
    26 Oct 2026A Paris Saint Germain0-2
    18 Oct 2026H Nice2-1
    09 Oct 2026A Lens1-2
    19 Sep 2026H Rennes4-0
    12 Sep 2026A Paris FC0-0

    Lorient

    DWWLD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 2L
    25 Oct 2026A Angers0-0
    18 Oct 2026H Monaco1-0
    10 Oct 2026H Paris FC1-0
    19 Sep 2026A Le Mans1-2
    12 Sep 2026H Toulouse2-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Lyon Over 2.5
    40%Lorient Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lyon sit at 60% and Lorient sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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