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Lyon crestLyon
v
Lens crestLens

Ligue 1 | Sun 17 May, 20:00

Lyon v Lens Stats

Data last updated: Fri 19 Jun 2026, 19:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lyon face Lens in Ligue 1 on Sun 17 May, 20:00. Lyon are in excellent home form, winning their last three matches at Groupama Stadium while scoring multiple goals. Lyon frequently score multiple goals at home but often remain defensively vulnerable, as seen in recent high-scoring wins. Technical Mastery: Possession & Precision

BT4Y best bet

Lyon Win

  • At 8/11, Lyon Win implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Conversely, Lens are winless in their last six away trips.
  • Lyon have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Lens.
  • Lyon have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Lyon Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Lyon sit 4 in the table, while Lens sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Lyon Win sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Lyon have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Lens. Conversely, Lens are winless in their last six away trips.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Positive
Lyon have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Lyon have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Conversely, Lens are winless in their last six away.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lyon Win is the preferred angle because conversely, Lens are winless in their last six away trips. Lyon have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Lens. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Lyon Win evidence

Conversely, Lens are winless in their last six away trips.

Lyon have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Lens.

Lyon have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Lyon Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Lyon sit 4 in the table, while Lens sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Lyon Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Lyon6
    Avg corners for
    Lens8.4
    Lyon12.8
    Avg total corners
    Lens11.2
    Lyon1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Lens1.8
    Lyon12.6
    Avg shots
    Lens24.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 50% · edge +19 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 60%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Ligue 1 fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Lyon v Lenscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Lyon2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Lens1.6
    Lyon1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Lens1.6
    Lyon80%
    BTTS rate
    Lens60%
    Lyon80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Lens40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLyon to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +8.1 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
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    Lyon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 60%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Lyon to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Lyon

    LWWWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    10 May 2026A Toulouse1-2
    03 May 2026H Rennes4-2
    25 Apr 2026H Auxerre3-2
    19 Apr 2026A Paris Saint Germain2-1
    12 Apr 2026H Lorient2-0

    Lens

    LWDDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    13 May 2026H Paris Saint Germain0-2
    08 May 2026H Nantes1-0
    02 May 2026A Nice1-1
    24 Apr 2026A Stade Brestois 293-3
    17 Apr 2026H Toulouse3-2
    Market aligned with main pickLyon to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +8.1 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
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    Lyon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Lyon wins
    3Draws
    4Lens wins
    05 Mar 2026Lyon v Lens2-2
    16 Aug 2025Lens v Lyon0-1
    04 May 2025Lyon v Lens1-2
    15 Sep 2024Lens v Lyon0-0
    03 Mar 2024Lyon v Lens0-3
    02 Dec 2023Lens v Lyon3-2
    Market aligned with main pickLyon to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +8.1 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Lyon to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Ligue 1

    Lyon34
    Played
    Lens34
    Lyon1.6
    Avg goals for
    Lens1.9
    Lyon1.2
    Avg goals against
    Lens1
    Lyon15
    Clean sheets
    Lens12
    Market aligned with main pickLyon to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +8.1 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Lyon Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Season data supports Lyon to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Lens7034224831
    4Lyon60341861013
    Lyon sit in position 4, while Lens sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Lyon Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Lyon Over 2.5
    40%Lens Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lyon sit at 80% and Lens sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Lyon v Lens prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Ligue 1 hubLigue 1 fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Lyon v Lenscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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