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Lusitânia Lourosa crestLusitânia Lourosa
v
Arouca crestArouca

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 01 Aug, 09:00

Lusitânia Lourosa v Arouca Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 04:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lusitânia Lourosa face Arouca in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 01 Aug, 09:00. Lusitânia Lourosa come in with 5 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Arouca have 2 points and 0.25 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Lusitânia Lourosa to Win

  • Lusitânia Lourosa to Win is rated around 60% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Lusitânia Lourosa have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 2 for Arouca.
  • Lusitânia Lourosa have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Lusitânia Lourosa to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Lusitânia Lourosa to Win around 60% on the latest available numbers. Lusitânia Lourosa have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 2 for Arouca.

Lusitânia Lourosa have the stronger recent points return, taking 5.Visible data support
Positive
Lusitânia Lourosa have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lusitânia Lourosa Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 2 for Arouca. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Lusitânia Lourosa to Win evidence

Lusitânia Lourosa have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 2 for Arouca.

Lusitânia Lourosa have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Lusitânia Lourosa Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Lusitânia Lourosa to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Lusitânia Lourosa0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Arouca0.25
    Lusitânia Lourosa1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Arouca1.25
    Lusitânia Lourosa20%
    BTTS rate
    Arouca25%
    Lusitânia Lourosa20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Arouca50%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Lusitânia Lourosa

    DDWLL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 2L
    29 Jul 2026A Leça0-0
    29 Jul 2026H FC Porto B3-3
    25 Jul 2026H Academico Viseu1-0
    18 Jul 2026H SC Braga B0-2
    15 Jul 2026A Famalicao0-1

    Arouca

    LDDL
    Last 50W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 2D 2L
    25 Jul 2026A Santa Clara0-3
    22 Jul 2026A Famalicao0-0
    18 Jul 2026A Feirense0-0
    11 Jul 2026A Rio Ave1-2

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Lusitânia Lourosa wins
    0Draws
    1Arouca wins
    23 Jul 2025Arouca v Lusitânia Lourosa2-3
    02 Feb 2020Arouca v Lusitânia Lourosa1-0
    01 Sep 2019Lusitânia Lourosa v Arouca4-1

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Lusitânia Lourosa5
    Played
    Arouca4
    Lusitânia Lourosa0.8
    Avg goals for
    Arouca0.3
    Lusitânia Lourosa1.2
    Avg goals against
    Arouca1.3
    Lusitânia Lourosa2
    Clean sheets
    Arouca2

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Lusitânia Lourosa Over 2.5
    50%Arouca Over 2.5
    3.67H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lusitânia Lourosa sit at 20% and Arouca sit at 50% with the H2H average at 3.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.