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Lorient crestLorient
v
Strasbourg crestStrasbourg

Ligue 1 | Sun 26 Apr, 14:00

Lorient v Strasbourg Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 2.1, Over 9.5 Corners is priced at roughly 48% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 69%, so the current line is showing a +21.4-point value edge.
  • The detailed sample shows average total corners of 9 for Lorient games and 11.8 for Strasbourg games.
  • The corner data supports the Over 9.5 Corners angle: Lorient have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The corner data supports the Over 9.5 Corners angle: Strasbourg have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.1, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 58% · edge +17.2 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Bet HERE @ 2.42
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

20%Lorient Over 2.5
60%Strasbourg Over 2.5
2.44H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Lorient

WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
18 Apr 2026H Marseille2-0
12 Apr 2026A Lyon0-2
05 Apr 2026H Paris FC1-1
21 Mar 2026A Toulouse0-1
14 Mar 2026H Lens2-1

Strasbourg

LWWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
19 Apr 2026H Rennes0-3
04 Apr 2026H Nice3-1
22 Mar 2026A Nantes3-2
15 Mar 2026H Paris FC0-0
07 Mar 2026A Auxerre0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.5 pts
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.42
Bet HERE @ 2.42
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.52
Bet HERE @ 1.52
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Lorient1
Avg goals scored
Strasbourg1.2
Lorient1
Avg goals conceded
Strasbourg1.2
Lorient40%
BTTS rate
Strasbourg40%
Lorient20%
Over 2.5 goals
Strasbourg60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 33% · edge +20 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 30%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3Lorient wins
4Draws
2Strasbourg wins
14 Dec 2025Strasbourg v Lorient0-0
18 Feb 2024Strasbourg v Lorient1-3
17 Dec 2023Lorient v Strasbourg1-2
03 Jun 2023Lorient v Strasbourg2-1
13 Nov 2022Strasbourg v Lorient1-1
20 Mar 2022Lorient v Strasbourg0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 33% · edge +20 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.6
Bet HERE @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Lorient3.4
Avg corners for
Strasbourg5.6
Lorient9
Avg total corners
Strasbourg11.8
Lorient1.4
Avg yellow cards
Strasbourg1.2
Lorient9.2
Avg shots
Strasbourg12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 48% · edge +21.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleB. Dieng Anytime GoalscorerB. Dieng · 9 goals · 1.68 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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B. Dieng 1+ Shot On TargetB. Dieng · 1.68 shots on target/90
81/100
Bet HERE
B. Dieng 2+ ShotsB. Dieng · 2.89 shots/90
78/100
Bet HERE
D. Bakwa To Assist / Key Pass AngleD. Bakwa · 2 assists · 2.57 key passes/90
76/100
Bet HERE
Gessime Yassine To Be FouledGessime Yassine · 3.43 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Yaya Diémé Card RiskYaya Diémé · 1 yellows · 2.5 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
B. Dieng
B. DiengLorient · Attacker
Goal threat92/100
Shots /902.89
SOT /901.68
E. Emegha
E. EmeghaStrasbourg · Attacker
Goal threat82/100
Shots /902.59
SOT /901.6
J. Panichelli
J. PanichelliStrasbourg · Attacker
Goal threat80/100
Shots /902.09
SOT /901.27
P. Pagis
P. PagisLorient · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.36
SOT /900.97
Yaya Diémé
Yaya DiéméStrasbourg · Attacker
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.25
SOT /901.25
A. Faye
A. FayeLorient · Defender
Goal threat14/100
Shots /900.49
SOT /900.14
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Lorient32
Played
Strasbourg31
Lorient1.4
Avg goals for
Strasbourg1.6
Lorient1.5
Avg goals against
Strasbourg1.3
Lorient6
Clean sheets
Strasbourg9
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 41% · edge +14.4 pts
2.42
Bet HERE @ 2.42
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.52
Bet HERE @ 1.52
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Strasbourg4631137119
9Lorient4232101210-5

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.