Football Stats Hub

Lorient crestLorient
v
Le Havre crestLe Havre

Ligue 1 | Sun 17 May, 20:00

Lorient v Le Havre Stats

Data last updated: Wed 17 Jun 2026, 06:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lorient face Le Havre in Ligue 1 on Sun 17 May, 20:00. Lorient come in with 7 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Le Havre have 4 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Lorient to Win

  • At 2.62, Lorient Win implies roughly 38%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Le Havre.
  • Lorient have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Lorient Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Lorient sit 9 in the table, while Le Havre sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Lorient Win sits against roughly 38% implied by the current price. Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Le Havre.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 38% implied
Strong positive
Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Lorient have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lorient Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Le Havre. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Lorient Win evidence

Lorient have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Le Havre.

Lorient have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Lorient Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Lorient sit 9 in the table, while Le Havre sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Lorient Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Lorient2
    Avg goals scored
    Le Havre1.4
    Lorient1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Le Havre1.6
    Lorient40%
    BTTS rate
    Le Havre80%
    Lorient60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Le Havre20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLorient to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 38% · edge +22.9 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Lorient Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Lorient to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Ligue 1 hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Lorient4.4
    Avg corners for
    Le Havre3.8
    Lorient11.8
    Avg total corners
    Le Havre9.2
    Lorient1
    Avg yellow cards
    Le Havre2.8
    Lorient11.2
    Avg shots
    Le Havre10.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 56% · edge +7.1 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 61%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Lorient

    WDLWL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    10 May 2026A Metz4-0
    02 May 2026A Paris Saint Germain2-2
    26 Apr 2026H Strasbourg2-3
    18 Apr 2026H Marseille2-0
    12 Apr 2026A Lyon0-2

    Le Havre

    LDDDD
    Last 50W 4D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 6D 4L
    10 May 2026H Marseille0-1
    03 May 2026A Lille1-1
    26 Apr 2026H Metz4-4
    18 Apr 2026A Angers1-1
    12 Apr 2026A Nice1-1
    Market aligned with main pickLorient to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 38% · edge +22.9 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Lorient Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Lorient wins
    4Draws
    2Le Havre wins
    21 Sep 2025Le Havre v Lorient1-1
    28 Jan 2024Lorient v Le Havre3-3
    03 Sep 2023Le Havre v Lorient3-0
    29 Jul 2023Le Havre v Lorient0-2
    29 Jul 2023Lorient v Le Havre2-0
    19 Oct 2019Le Havre v Lorient2-2
    Market aligned with main pickLorient to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 38% · edge +22.9 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Lorient to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Ligue 1

    Lorient34
    Played
    Le Havre34
    Lorient1.4
    Avg goals for
    Le Havre0.9
    Lorient1.5
    Avg goals against
    Le Havre1.3
    Lorient7
    Clean sheets
    Le Havre8
    Market aligned with main pickLorient to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 38% · edge +22.9 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Lorient Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Lorient to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    9Lorient4534111211-3
    14Le Havre353471413-12
    Lorient sit in position 9, while Le Havre sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Lorient Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Lorient Over 2.5
    20%Le Havre Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lorient sit at 60% and Le Havre sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    Ligue 1 hubLigue 1 hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre