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Livorno crestLivorno
v
Grosseto crestGrosseto

Serie C - Girone B | Fri 16 Oct, 19:30

Livorno v Grosseto Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 09:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Livorno and Grosseto meet in a Serie C - Girone B clash where both sides have shown attacking intent this season. Grosseto currently sits third with 18 points, while Livorno is fifth with 15 points, reflecting a competitive fixture. Grosseto boasts a higher goals-for average at 2.4 per game compared to Livorno's 1.6, and both teams have a history of conceding goals, suggesting an open game. Recent form data highlights both sides' tendency to find the net, setting up an intriguing contest with offensive emphasis.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Grosseto averages 2.4 goals scored per game, indicating strong attacking form.
  • Livorno has a Both Teams to Score rate of 80%, showing consistent goal concessions and scoring.
  • Grosseto's BTTS rate stands at 60%, supporting the likelihood of goals at both ends.
  • The last 10 meetings averaged 2.7 goals per match, reflecting a tendency for open games.
  • Both teams have conceded 1.4 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 59.9%, indicating clear value in this selection. Both Livorno and Grosseto have strong attacking records and concede goals regularly, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Grosseto's high goals-for average and Livorno's consistent BTTS rate underpin the model's . The data quality is solid for both teams, adding reliability to the prediction.

Model Chance74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Livorno BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Grosseto Goals For2.4 per game
Strong positive
Recent H2H Average Goals2.7 per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Grosseto's potent attack and Livorno's tendency to concede and score regularly. The data shows both teams have the offensive quality and defensive lapses to produce goals at both ends, making this a tactically and statistically sound selection for the fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“The attacking profiles of Livorno and Grosseto suggest an open contest where both sides are likely to find the net. Their defensive vulnerabilities combined with offensive intent make BTTS a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Grosseto averages 2.4 goals scored per game, indicating strong attacking form.

Livorno has a Both Teams to Score rate of 80%, showing consistent goal concessions and scoring.

Grosseto's BTTS rate stands at 60%, supporting the likelihood of goals at both ends.

The last 10 meetings averaged 2.7 goals per match, reflecting a tendency for open games.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 2.7, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals.
  • Grosseto's higher over 2.5 goals rate at 80% compared to Livorno's 40% suggests Grosseto's matches often feature more goals, reinforcing the potential for a lively, goal-filled encounter in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Livorno1.6
Avg goals scored
Grosseto2.4
Livorno1.4
Avg goals conceded
Grosseto1.4
Livorno80%
BTTS rate
Grosseto60%
Livorno40%
Over 2.5 goals
Grosseto80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have strong attacking outputs and concede goals regularly, with Livorno scoring 1.6 and Grosseto 2.4 goals per game, while both concede 1.4 on average. Livorno's 80% BTTS rate and Grosseto's 60% rate highlight a pattern of matches where both sides score, supported by a 2.7 average goals per game in their last 10 meetings, suggesting an open, goal-rich encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Grosseto Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Grosseto to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Livorno Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Livorno to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The 74.9% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Livorno show a 80% BTTS rate and Grosseto show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Livorno

DLWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 2L
11 Oct 2026A Forli1-1
03 Oct 2026H Pescara0-1
26 Sep 2026H Pianese3-2
21 Sep 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19371-1
16 Sep 2026H Vado3-2

Grosseto

WLWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 1L
10 Oct 2026A Vis Pesaro3-2
03 Oct 2026H Sambenedettese1-3
26 Sep 2026A Pineto4-0
20 Sep 2026H Perugia2-0
16 Sep 2026H Campobasso FC2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 63% · edge +15 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Grosseto Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Grosseto to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Livorno Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Livorno to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form data shows Livorno has accumulated 8 points with an 80% BTTS rate, while Grosseto has 10 points and a 60% BTTS rate. Both teams have conceded 1.4 goals per game recently, reinforcing the trend of matches where both sides score. This form supports the expectation of an open game with goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Livorno Over 2.5
80%Grosseto Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 2.7, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals. Grosseto's higher over 2.5 goals rate at 80% compared to Livorno's 40% suggests Grosseto's matches often feature more goals, reinforcing the potential for a lively, goal-filled encounter in this fixture.

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