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Livingston crestLivingston
v
Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock

Premiership | Sun 17 May, 14:00

Livingston v Kilmarnock Stats

BT4Y best bet

Kilmarnock to Win

  • At 2.35, Kilmarnock to Win is priced at roughly 43% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +27.4-point value edge.
  • Livingston have a recent record of 1W-2D-2L, while Kilmarnock come in at 3W-1D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Kilmarnock to Win angle: Livingston have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Kilmarnock to Win angle: Kilmarnock have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.35, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +25.5 pts
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Livingston Over 2.5
80%Kilmarnock Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Livingston

DLDWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
12 May 2026A Dundee Utd0-0
09 May 2026A Dundee0-3
01 May 2026H Aberdeen2-2
25 Apr 2026A ST Mirren2-0
11 Apr 2026A Dundee Utd2-3

Kilmarnock

WWWLD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
12 May 2026H Dundee3-1
09 May 2026A ST Mirren3-0
02 May 2026H Dundee Utd3-0
25 Apr 2026A Aberdeen0-1
11 Apr 2026H Dundee2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +25.5 pts
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
DrawBetUK guide price · model 20%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Livingston1.2
Avg goals scored
Kilmarnock2.2
Livingston1.6
Avg goals conceded
Kilmarnock0.8
Livingston40%
BTTS rate
Kilmarnock40%
Livingston60%
Over 2.5 goals
Kilmarnock80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 82% · edge -3.7 pts
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Livingston wins
3Draws
5Kilmarnock wins
21 Mar 2026Kilmarnock v Livingston2-0
10 Jan 2026Livingston v Kilmarnock1-1
02 Aug 2025Kilmarnock v Livingston2-2
16 Jul 2025Kilmarnock v Livingston1-0
07 Feb 2024Kilmarnock v Livingston1-0
16 Dec 2023Livingston v Kilmarnock0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 43% · edge +27.4 pts
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
DrawBetUK guide price · model 20%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Livingston5.8
Avg corners for
Kilmarnock4.6
Livingston11.6
Avg total corners
Kilmarnock8.4
Livingston2
Avg yellow cards
Kilmarnock2.6
Livingston11.6
Avg shots
Kilmarnock12.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.1 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleT. John-Jules Anytime GoalscorerT. John-Jules · 8 goals · 1.56 SOT/90
83/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
S. Culbert 1+ Shot On TargetS. Culbert · 3.33 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
S. Culbert 2+ ShotsS. Culbert · 6.67 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
B. McKay To Assist / Key Pass AngleB. McKay · 2 assists · 2.83 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
G. Kiltie To Be FouledG. Kiltie · 2.34 fouls won/90
77/100
Bet HERE
J. Bokila Card RiskJ. Bokila · 5 yellows · 3.4 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
T. John-Jules
T. John-JulesKilmarnock · Attacker
Goal threat84/100
Shots /902.5
SOT /901.56
J. Hugill
J. HugillKilmarnock · Attacker
Goal threat69/100
Shots /901.57
SOT /901.07
Findlay Curtis
Findlay CurtisKilmarnock · Midfielder
Goal threat65/100
Shots /902.43
SOT /901
S. Culbert
S. CulbertLivingston · Attacker
Goal threat59/100
Shots /906.67
SOT /903.33
A. Tamm
A. TammLivingston · Attacker
Goal threat24/100
Shots /901.67
SOT /901.67
J. Bokila
J. BokilaLivingston · Attacker
Goal threat48/100
Shots /901.3
SOT /900.6
C. McLennan
C. McLennanLivingston · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /901.52
SOT /900.94
K. Magennis
K. MagennisKilmarnock · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

Premiership

Livingston38
Played
Kilmarnock38
Livingston1.1
Avg goals for
Kilmarnock1.3
Livingston2
Avg goals against
Kilmarnock1.8
Livingston4
Clean sheets
Kilmarnock9
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 51% · edge +25.5 pts
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Kilmarnock283361017-28
12Livingston163311319-31
4Kilmarnock4038101018-18
6Livingston213821521-35

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

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