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Livingston crestLivingston
v
Dundee crestDundee

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 14:00

Livingston v Dundee Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Livingston face Dundee in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 27 Jun, 14:00. Livingston have lost nine of their last 12 away league fixtures. Dundee United are in excellent home form, having won their last four matches at Tannadice while scoring ten goals. The hosts’ attacking tempo should overwhelm a fragile visiting defence.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Defeats following the derby win over Dundee prevented them from building real momentum heading into the closing weeks

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 60%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/6, Livingston Win implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Key metrics and sample prices based on recent home and away trends.
Price warning

Defeats following the derby win over Dundee prevented them from building real momentum heading into the closing weeks is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 43% (-17 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Livingston Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.6.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 43% for Livingston Win sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Key metrics and sample prices based on recent home and away trends.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
Key metrics and sample prices based on recent home.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -17 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Livingston Win is the preferred angle because key metrics and sample prices based on recent home and away trends. It has not always been elegant, but recently it has at least looked purposeful.

Main risk

It has not always been elegant, but recently it has at least looked purposeful.

Key Data Signals

Livingston Win evidence

Key metrics and sample prices based on recent home and away trends.

What To Watch In The Data

Livingston Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLivingston to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 30% · edge +12.7 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Livingston Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    Livingston to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Livingston-
    Avg goals scored
    Dundee-
    Livingston-
    Avg goals conceded
    Dundee-
    Livingston-
    BTTS rate
    Dundee-
    Livingston-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Dundee-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 82% · edge -7.2 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Livingston

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Livingston yet.

    Dundee

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Dundee yet.

    Market aligned with main pickLivingston to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 30% · edge +12.7 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Livingston Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Livingston wins
    2Draws
    5Dundee wins
    09 May 2026Dundee v Livingston3-0
    14 Feb 2026Dundee v Livingston2-2
    13 Dec 2025Livingston v Dundee2-2
    20 Sep 2025Dundee v Livingston3-2
    27 Jan 2024Livingston v Dundee1-4
    05 Nov 2023Dundee v Livingston1-0
    Market aligned with main pickLivingston to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 30% · edge +12.7 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Livingston to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Livingston1
    Played
    Dundee1
    Livingston2
    Avg goals for
    Dundee0
    Livingston0
    Avg goals against
    Dundee2
    Livingston1
    Clean sheets
    Dundee0
    Market aligned with main pickLivingston to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 30% · edge +12.7 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Livingston Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Season data supports Livingston to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Livingston Over 2.5
    -Dundee Over 2.5
    3.3H2H avg goals
    Key metrics and sample prices based on recent home and away trends.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Livingston v Dundee prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre