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Liverpool crestLiverpool
v
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

Premier League | Sat 16 Jan, 15:00

Liverpool v Crystal Palace Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 23:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool face Crystal Palace in Premier League on Sat 16 Jan, 15:00. Liverpool's struggles to keep clean sheets recently contrast with Palace's ability to find the net in every single away trip. Meanwhile, Crystal Palace arrive having scored in nine consecutive away fixtures.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 60%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/6, Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both teams to score at least one goal each within 90 minutes.
  • Liverpool show a 20% BTTS rate and Crystal Palace show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Liverpool average 1 goals scored and Crystal Palace average 0.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Price warning

Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 43% (-16.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 43% for Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Liverpool show a 20% BTTS rate and Crystal Palace show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both teams to score at least one goal each within 90 minutes.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
Liverpool show a 20% BTTS rate and Crystal Palace show.Visible data support
Positive
Liverpool average 1 goals scored and Crystal Palace average 0.Visible data support
Positive
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both teams to score at least one goal each within 90 minutes. Liverpool show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Crystal Palace show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Correct Score A high-risk, high-reward market where you must predict the exact final scoreline.

Main risk

Correct Score A high-risk, high-reward market where you must predict the exact final scoreline.

Key Data Signals

Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool evidence

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both teams to score at least one goal each within.

Liverpool show a 20% BTTS rate and Crystal Palace show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Liverpool average 1 goals scored and Crystal Palace average 0.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Liverpool1
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace0.6
Liverpool1
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace2
Liverpool20%
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace20%
Liverpool40%
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace40%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Liverpool

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 2L
01 Nov 2026H Arsenal0-1
25 Oct 2026H Brighton2-0
17 Oct 2026A Brentford2-1
11 Oct 2026H Manchester City0-3
20 Sep 2026A Bournemouth1-0

Crystal Palace

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 6L
31 Oct 2026A Tottenham0-2
25 Oct 2026H Newcastle0-2
18 Oct 2026A Brighton0-5
11 Oct 2026H Nottingham Forest3-1
20 Sep 2026A Leeds0-0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Liverpool Over 2.5
40%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Liverpool sit at 40% and Crystal Palace sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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