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Liverpool crestLiverpool
v
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

Premier League | Sat 16 Jan, 15:00

Liverpool v Crystal Palace Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 23:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool face Crystal Palace in Premier League on Sat 16 Jan, 15:00. Liverpool's struggles to keep clean sheets recently contrast with Palace's ability to find the net in every single away trip. Meanwhile, Crystal Palace arrive having scored in nine consecutive away fixtures.

BT4Y best bet

Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool

  • At 4/6, Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both teams to score at least one goal each within 90 minutes.
  • Liverpool show a 20% BTTS rate and Crystal Palace show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Liverpool average 1 goals scored and Crystal Palace average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Liverpool show a 20% BTTS rate and Crystal Palace show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both teams to score at least one goal each within 90 minutes.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Neutral
Liverpool show a 20% BTTS rate and Crystal Palace show.Visible data support
Positive
Liverpool average 1 goals scored and Crystal Palace average 1.Visible data support
Positive
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both teams to score at least one goal each within 90 minutes. Liverpool show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Crystal Palace show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Correct Score A high-risk, high-reward market where you must predict the exact final scoreline.

Main risk

Correct Score A high-risk, high-reward market where you must predict the exact final scoreline.

Key Data Signals

Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool evidence

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both teams to score at least one goal each within.

Liverpool show a 20% BTTS rate and Crystal Palace show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Liverpool average 1 goals scored and Crystal Palace average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Three, is designed to absorb pressure and frustrate teams like Liverpool notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Liverpool1
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace1.8
Liverpool1
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace2
Liverpool20%
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace80%
Liverpool40%
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Liverpool

LWDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
11 Oct 2026H Manchester City0-3
20 Sep 2026A Bournemouth1-0
12 Sep 2026H Fulham0-0
04 Sep 2026A Ipswich2-0
29 Aug 2026H Nottingham Forest2-2

Crystal Palace

WDLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
11 Oct 2026H Nottingham Forest3-1
20 Sep 2026A Leeds0-0
12 Sep 2026H Ipswich2-3
05 Sep 2026A Fulham3-2
28 Aug 2026H Manchester City1-4

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Liverpool Over 2.5
80%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Liverpool sit at 40% and Crystal Palace sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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