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Liverpool crestLiverpool
v
Brentford crestBrentford

Premier League | Sun 24 May, 16:00

Liverpool v Brentford Stats

Data last updated: Fri 12 Jun 2026, 23:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool face Brentford in Premier League on Sun 24 May, 16:00. Igor Thiago has scored 41% of Brentford’s Premier League goals this season. Liverpool look capable of overwhelming teams at Anfield, where they scored three or more goals in seven of their last eight home wins.

BT4Y best bet

Liverpool Win

  • At 7/1, Liverpool Win implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who has scored 22 goals, meaning the visitors can breach the home defence despite falling.
  • Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Brentford.
  • Brentford have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Liverpool Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Liverpool sit 5 in the table, while Brentford sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Liverpool Win sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Brentford. Brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who has scored that scoring level, meaning the visitors can breach the home defence despite falling.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Strong positive
Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Brentford have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Liverpool Win is the preferred angle because brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who has scored that scoring level, meaning the visitors can breach the home defence despite falling to a single-goal final defeat. Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Brentford. Their recent sequence of draws suggests a side hovering between ambition and hesitation — capable of creating momentum but unable to fully seize it.

Main risk

Their recent sequence of draws suggests a side hovering between ambition and hesitation — capable of creating momentum but unable to fully seize it.

Key Data Signals

Liverpool Win evidence

Brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who has scored 22 goals, meaning the visitors can breach.

Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Brentford.

Brentford have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Liverpool Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Liverpool sit 5 in the table, while Brentford sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Liverpool Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Liverpool2
    Avg goals scored
    Brentford1.2
    Liverpool2
    Avg goals conceded
    Brentford1.4
    Liverpool100%
    BTTS rate
    Brentford40%
    Liverpool80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Brentford80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 100% for Liverpool and 40% for Brentford, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 54% · edge +0.3 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Liverpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Liverpool to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Liverpool5.4
    Avg corners for
    Brentford6
    Liverpool9
    Avg total corners
    Brentford12
    Liverpool1.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Brentford1.6
    Liverpool12
    Avg shots
    Brentford11.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +6.2 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Liverpool

    LDLWW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    15 May 2026A Aston Villa2-4
    09 May 2026H Chelsea1-1
    03 May 2026A Manchester United2-3
    25 Apr 2026H Crystal Palace3-1
    19 Apr 2026A Everton2-1

    Brentford

    DLWLD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 6D 2L
    17 May 2026H Crystal Palace2-2
    09 May 2026A Manchester City0-3
    02 May 2026H West Ham3-0
    27 Apr 2026A Manchester United1-2
    18 Apr 2026H Fulham0-0
    Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 54% · edge +0.3 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 81%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Liverpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Liverpool wins
    1Draws
    2Brentford wins
    25 Oct 2025Brentford v Liverpool3-2
    18 Jan 2025Brentford v Liverpool0-2
    25 Aug 2024Liverpool v Brentford2-0
    17 Feb 2024Brentford v Liverpool1-4
    12 Nov 2023Liverpool v Brentford3-0
    06 May 2023Liverpool v Brentford1-0
    Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 54% · edge +0.3 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Liverpool to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Liverpool38
    Played
    Brentford38
    Liverpool1.7
    Avg goals for
    Brentford1.4
    Liverpool1.4
    Avg goals against
    Brentford1.4
    Liverpool10
    Clean sheets
    Brentford10
    Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 54% · edge +0.3 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    Liverpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports Liverpool to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Liverpool60381791210
    9Brentford53381411133
    Liverpool sit in position 5, while Brentford sit in position 9, so table pressure belongs in the Liverpool Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Liverpool Over 2.5
    80%Brentford Over 2.5
    3.44H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Liverpool sit at 80% and Brentford sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.44 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.