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Liverpool crestLiverpool
v
Brentford crestBrentford

Premier League | Sat 15 May, 15:00

Liverpool v Brentford Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 10:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool face Brentford in Premier League on Sat 15 May, 15:00. Igor Thiago has scored 41% of Brentford’s Premier League goals this season. Liverpool look capable of overwhelming teams at Anfield, where they scored three or more goals in seven of their last eight home wins.

BT4Y best bet

Liverpool Win

  • Liverpool Win is rated around 42% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who has scored 22 goals, meaning the visitors can breach the home defence despite falling.
  • Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Brentford.
  • Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Liverpool Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Liverpool sit 9 in the table, while Brentford sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Liverpool Win around 42% on the latest available numbers. Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Brentford. Brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who has scored 22 goals, meaning the visitors can breach the home defence despite falling.

Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Liverpool Win is the preferred angle because brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who has scored that scoring level, meaning the visitors can breach the home defence despite falling to a single-goal final defeat. Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Brentford. Their recent sequence of draws suggests a side hovering between ambition and hesitation — capable of creating momentum but unable to fully seize it.

Main risk

Their recent sequence of draws suggests a side hovering between ambition and hesitation — capable of creating momentum but unable to fully seize it.

Key Data Signals

Liverpool Win evidence

Brentford carry a dangerous threat via Igor Thiago, who has scored 22 goals, meaning the visitors can breach.

Liverpool have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Brentford.

Liverpool have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Liverpool Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Liverpool sit 9 in the table, while Brentford sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Liverpool Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Liverpool1
    Avg goals scored
    Brentford1.8
    Liverpool1
    Avg goals conceded
    Brentford1.2
    Liverpool20%
    BTTS rate
    Brentford80%
    Liverpool40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Brentford60%

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Liverpool

    LWDWD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 1L
    11 Oct 2026H Manchester City0-3
    20 Sep 2026A Bournemouth1-0
    12 Sep 2026H Fulham0-0
    04 Sep 2026A Ipswich2-0
    29 Aug 2026H Nottingham Forest2-2

    Brentford

    DWDDD
    Last 51W 4D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 0L
    10 Oct 2026A Aston Villa2-2
    18 Sep 2026H Chelsea3-0
    12 Sep 2026A Bournemouth2-2
    05 Sep 2026H Sunderland1-1
    30 Aug 2026A Leeds1-1

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Liverpool Over 2.5
    60%Brentford Over 2.5
    3.3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Liverpool sit at 40% and Brentford sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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