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Arsenal crestArsenal

Premier League | Sun 01 Nov, 16:30

Liverpool v Arsenal Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 23:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Premier League clash features Arsenal, sitting second with 21 points and strong home form, hosting Liverpool, fourth with 15 points and recent draws that have stalled momentum. Arsenal's possession control and wide play create pressure, while Liverpool's high press and transition threat seek to exploit spaces. The fixture promises tactical battles on the flanks and set-piece duels, with Arsenal aiming to tighten their grip on the title race and Liverpool looking to rediscover rhythm. Both teams' styles suggest a dynamic match with frequent territorial shifts and set-piece opportunities.

BT4Y match pick

Over 3.5 Cards

  • Arsenal average 5.6 corners per game, Liverpool 5.2, indicating a high corner count.
  • Both teams have strong attacking wings, increasing crossing and corner chances.
  • Recent form shows Arsenal and Liverpool both generate frequent set-piece opportunities.
  • Tactical emphasis on wide play and high pressing leads to more corners.
  • Historical matches between these sides often feature numerous corners due to open play and attacking intent.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The corners market is supported by both teams' attacking styles and recent statistics. Arsenal and Liverpool average over five corners each per match, reflecting sustained pressure and wide attacks. The tactical context of Arsenal's possession and Liverpool's counter-attacks increases crossing frequency, leading to more corners. The model assigns a 59% chance to over 9.5 corners, aligning with the teams' tendencies to create set-piece opportunities. is moderate at 57%, indicating a solid but not overwhelming edge for this market.

Average corners per gameArsenal 5.6, Liverpool 5.2
Strong positive
Tactical wide play and pressingLeads to frequent crossing and corners
Positive
Recent form corner generationConsistent high corner counts
Positive
Model chance57.5% model chance vs 59.9% implied (-2.4 pts)
Positive
Confidence level57%
Positive
Main risk

This squeezes opponents but leaves significant space in behind—territory that Liverpool are built to exploit.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“The tactical emphasis on wide play and high pressing from both Arsenal and Liverpool naturally leads to a high volume of corners, making this market a logical focus for bettors.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

Arsenal average 5.6 corners per game, Liverpool 5.2, indicating a high corner count.

Both teams have strong attacking wings, increasing crossing and corner chances.

Recent form shows Arsenal and Liverpool both generate frequent set-piece opportunities.

Tactical emphasis on wide play and high pressing leads to more corners.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 2.9, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • Both teams' matches this season show a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tempo and chance quality that often lead to multiple corners through sustained pressure and transitions.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Liverpool1
Avg goals scored
Arsenal1.4
Liverpool0.8
Avg goals conceded
Arsenal0.8
Liverpool20%
BTTS rate
Arsenal20%
Liverpool40%
Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 48% · edge +13.1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both Arsenal and Liverpool average 1.4 and 1.0 goals per game respectively, with a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals and only 20% BTTS rate, indicating matches often feature goals from one side. This suggests a dynamic attacking game with potential for multiple goal attempts, complementing the likelihood of numerous corners from attacking phases and transitions.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League hubLiverpool v Arsenal predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Liverpool

WWLWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 1L
25 Oct 2026H Brighton2-0
17 Oct 2026A Brentford2-1
11 Oct 2026H Manchester City0-3
20 Sep 2026A Bournemouth1-0
12 Sep 2026H Fulham0-0

Arsenal

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 1L
24 Oct 2026H Everton2-0
18 Oct 2026A Nottingham Forest1-0
10 Oct 2026H Leeds2-1
19 Sep 2026A Brighton0-3
12 Sep 2026A Sunderland2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 71% · edge +7.5 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Arsenal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Arsenal to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Liverpool to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Liverpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Recent form data shows Arsenal and Liverpool both maintain high corner counts, consistent with their attacking output and possession control. Arsenal's strong home record and Liverpool's pressing style sustain territorial advantage and crossing frequency, reinforcing the expectation of a corner-rich match environment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 60% · edge -2.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Arsenal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Arsenal to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Liverpool to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 57.5% for Over 3.5 Cards sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (-2.4 pts). Liverpool have the higher yellow-card average at 1.8, while Arsenal sit at 1.2. Completing this 22/1 treble is a card for Liverpool’s Ibrahima Konate.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Liverpool Over 2.5
40%Arsenal Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match is 2.9, indicating open games with attacking intent. Both teams' matches this season show a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tempo and chance quality that often lead to multiple corners through sustained pressure and transitions.

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