Lille
Le HavreLigue 1 | Sun 03 May, 14:00
Lille v Le Havre Stats
Data last updated: Tue 30 Jun 2026, 02:41 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Lille face Le Havre in Ligue 1 on Sun 03 May, 14:00. Lille’s home defence has conceded only twice since February, while Le Havre average just 0.14 goals per game against the league’s top four. They are unbeaten in 11 and face a Le Havre side that has failed to win in nine.
Lille Win
- At 1/1, Lille Win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
- Lille have not conceded a single goal in their last four domestic matches, highlighting a defence that has become extremely difficult to break down.
- Lille have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 4 for Le Havre.
- Lille have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Lille Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Lille sit 3 in the table, while Le Havre sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 74% for Lille Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Lille have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 4 for Le Havre. Lille have not conceded a single goal in their last four domestic matches, highlighting a defence that has become extremely difficult to break down.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Lille Win is the preferred angle because lille have not conceded a single goal in their last four domestic matches, highlighting a defence that has become extremely difficult to break down. Lille have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 4 for Le Havre. They are not collapsing, but neither are they fully escaping danger.
They are not collapsing, but neither are they fully escaping danger.
Key Data Signals
Lille Win evidence
Lille have not conceded a single goal in their last four domestic matches, highlighting a defence that has.
Lille have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 4 for Le Havre.
Lille have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Lille Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Lille sit 3 in the table, while Le Havre sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Lille Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Lille
Le Havre
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 15 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 35 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Ligue 1
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
