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Libertad Asuncion crestLibertad Asuncion
v
UCV crestUCV

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Wed 27 May, 23:00

Libertad Asuncion v UCV Stats

BT4Y best bet

UCV to Win

  • At 8, UCV to Win is priced at roughly 13% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +57.5-point value edge.
  • Libertad Asuncion have a recent record of 0W-0D-5L, while UCV come in at 2W-0D-3L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the UCV to Win angle: Libertad Asuncion have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the UCV to Win angle: UCV have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 8, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 13% · edge +57.5 pts
8
Bet HERE @ 8
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.19
Bet HERE @ 1.19
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Libertad Asuncion Over 2.5
80%UCV Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Libertad Asuncion

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 5L
20 May 2026A Independiente del Valle1-4
05 May 2026A Rosario Central0-1
28 Apr 2026H Independiente del Valle2-3
15 Apr 2026H Rosario Central0-1
09 Apr 2026A UCV1-3

UCV

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 3L
19 May 2026A Rosario Central0-4
06 May 2026H Independiente del Valle2-0
29 Apr 2026H Rosario Central0-3
16 Apr 2026A Independiente del Valle1-3
09 Apr 2026H Libertad Asuncion3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 13% · edge +57.5 pts
8
Bet HERE @ 8
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.19
Bet HERE @ 1.19
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.07
Bet HERE @ 1.07
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Libertad Asuncion0.8
Avg goals scored
UCV1.2
Libertad Asuncion2.4
Avg goals conceded
UCV2.2
Libertad Asuncion60%
BTTS rate
UCV40%
Libertad Asuncion60%
Over 2.5 goals
UCV80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 51% · edge +15.4 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Libertad Asuncion wins
0Draws
1UCV wins
09 Apr 2026UCV v Libertad Asuncion3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 13% · edge +57.5 pts
8
Bet HERE @ 8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Libertad Asuncion3.6
Avg corners for
UCV1.4
Libertad Asuncion8.6
Avg total corners
UCV8.2
Libertad Asuncion2.4
Avg yellow cards
UCV2.8
Libertad Asuncion9.8
Avg shots
UCV11.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 48% · edge +17.2 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleC. Ortiz Anytime GoalscorerC. Ortiz · 0 goals · 3.91 SOT/90
83/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
C. Ortiz 1+ Shot On TargetC. Ortiz · 3.91 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
C. Ortiz 2+ ShotsC. Ortiz · 11.74 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
I. Ramírez To Be FouledI. Ramírez · 4.17 fouls won/90
75/100
Bet HERE
G. Aguilar Card RiskG. Aguilar · 3 yellows · 3.8 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
C. Ortiz
C. OrtizUCV · Attacker
Goal threat85/100
Shots /9011.74
SOT /903.91
L. Melgarejo
L. MelgarejoLibertad Asuncion · Attacker
Goal threat75/100
Shots /902.55
SOT /901.53
Y. Murillo
Y. MurilloUCV · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /903.05
SOT /901.53
G. Aguilar
G. AguilarLibertad Asuncion · Attacker
Goal threat5/100
Shots /901.08
SOT /900
P. Villalba
P. VillalbaLibertad Asuncion · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
E. Villalba
E. VillalbaLibertad Asuncion · Defender
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion5
Played
UCV5
Libertad Asuncion0.8
Avg goals for
UCV1.2
Libertad Asuncion2.4
Avg goals against
UCV2.2
Libertad Asuncion0
Clean sheets
UCV1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 13% · edge +57.5 pts
8
Bet HERE @ 8
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.19
Bet HERE @ 1.19
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3UCV65203-5
4Libertad Asuncion05005-8

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

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