Leyton Orient

AFC Wimbledon

EFL Trophy | Tue 18 Aug, 19:00

Leyton Orient v AFC Wimbledon Stats

Data last updated: Mon 17 Aug 2026, 07:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This EFL Trophy clash features Leyton Orient hosting AFC Wimbledon in a fixture where both teams seek to assert early season momentum. AFC Wimbledon enter with a tactical approach focused on defensive solidity and counter-attacking threat, while Leyton Orient aim to leverage home advantage and midfield creativity. The match carries cup competition stakes that often produce cautious play, but AFC Wimbledon's recent defensive organization and ability to absorb pressure suggest they can avoid defeat here. Uncertainty remains due to limited recent data and squad rotations common in this tournament.

BT4Y best bet

AFC Wimbledon or Draw

AFC Wimbledon or Draw offers a 16% versus implied .
Limited recent form data increases reliance on tactical and player-level signals.
H2H shows moderate goal averages but no dominant trend favoring Leyton Orient.
Player stats highlight AFC Wimbledon’s Maycock as a key attacking threat with high shot volume.
Cup competition context suggests cautious play, favoring defensive resilience and double chance coverage.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors AFC Wimbledon or Draw with a strong 71% chance, reflecting their defensive resilience and ability to avoid defeat in this cup tie. The 1.83 imply a 54.6% chance, creating a 16.4% . Despite limited data for both sides, player-level stats such as Maycock's high shots on target and Leyton Orient's less consistent attacking output support this cautious double chance pick. The cup format and tactical setups further justify backing AFC Wimbledon to at least secure a draw.

Model Chance71%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance54.6%

Positive

Value Edge16.4%

Strong positive

Data QualityLimited recent data for both teams

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Backing AFC Wimbledon or Draw is tactically sound given their defensive organization and ability to frustrate opponents in cup settings. The model’s aligns with player stats showing key contributors like Maycock posing a threat while limiting risks. This double chance covers the cautious nature of knockout football and the potential for Leyton Orient’s home advantage to be neutralized by Wimbledon’s resilience.

Main risk

However, Leyton Orient have seen both teams score in their last six fixtures.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and player-level analysis

“AFC Wimbledon’s defensive discipline and Maycock’s attacking intent make the double chance a pragmatic pick in a fixture where cautious tactics and squad rotation are expected.”

Key Data Signals

AFC Wimbledon or Draw evidence

AFC Wimbledon or Draw offers a 16% versus implied .

Limited recent form data increases reliance on tactical and player-level signals.

H2H shows moderate goal averages but no dominant trend favoring Leyton Orient.

Player stats highlight AFC Wimbledon’s Maycock as a key attacking threat with high shot volume.

What To Watch In The Data

AFC Wimbledon or Draw notes

Over the last eight meetings, the average goals per game is 2.63, indicating moderate scoring tempo.
The cup setting and tactical caution likely suppress goal totals further, suggesting a match with controlled tempo and limited open-play chances, consistent with a double chance bet favoring defensive resilience and risk mitigation.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 44% · edge +7.1 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

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AFC Wimbledon to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Leyton Orient Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Leyton Orient to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

Check odds @ 2

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The AFC Wimbledon or Draw market is priced at 1.83 with a of 71%, indicating clear value. The 16.4% reflects the market underestimating AFC Wimbledon’s defensive strengths and ability to avoid defeat in this cup tie. This price sensitivity suggests a confident but cautious approach, as the provide a solid return for a likely outcome in a typically tight knockout fixture.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Leyton Orient-

Avg goals scored

AFC Wimbledon-

Leyton Orient-

Avg goals conceded

AFC Wimbledon-

Leyton Orient-

BTTS rate

AFC Wimbledon-

Leyton Orient-

Over 2.5 goals

AFC Wimbledon-

Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +12 pts

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Historical data shows an average of 2.63 goals across eight meetings, indicating moderate scoring but no strong trend for high-scoring games. The cup context and tactical caution likely suppress goal totals, supporting a scenario where both teams may not score or goals remain limited, aligning with the double chance pick that values defensive solidity over open attacking play.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Leyton Orient

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Leyton Orient yet.

AFC Wimbledon

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for AFC Wimbledon yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +11.1 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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AFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

AFC Wimbledon to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Leyton Orient Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Leyton Orient to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

Check odds @ 2

Recent form data is limited for both teams, but AFC Wimbledon’s defensive organization and ability to secure draws or narrow wins in cup competitions suggest momentum towards resilience. Leyton Orient’s form is less clear, increasing the appeal of a double chance covering AFC Wimbledon or Draw to mitigate risk in an unpredictable early-season cup fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Leyton Orient wins

1Draws

4AFC Wimbledon wins

17 Mar 2026AFC Wimbledon v Leyton Orient2-4

01 Jan 2026Leyton Orient v AFC Wimbledon1-3

04 Feb 2023Leyton Orient v AFC Wimbledon1-0

08 Nov 2022AFC Wimbledon v Leyton Orient2-0

06 Oct 2020Leyton Orient v AFC Wimbledon2-0

08 Oct 2019AFC Wimbledon v Leyton Orient3-0

Best odds for this sectionAFC Wimbledon to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.7 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Load more odds for this section

DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Leyton Orient to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

Check odds @ 2

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

The head-to-head sample of eight matches shows a moderate average of 2.63 goals but no dominant trend favoring Leyton Orient. AFC Wimbledon’s ability to avoid defeat in previous encounters supports the double chance pick, although the sample size and variability mean recent tactical and player form carry more weight in this fixture.

Season team stats

EFL Trophy

Leyton Orient0

Played

AFC Wimbledon0

Leyton Orient0

Avg goals for

AFC Wimbledon0

Leyton Orient0

Avg goals against

AFC Wimbledon0

Leyton Orient0

Clean sheets

AFC Wimbledon0

Best odds for this sectionAFC Wimbledon Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 44% · edge +7.1 pts

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Load more odds for this section

AFC Wimbledon to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Leyton Orient Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Leyton Orient to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

Check odds @ 2

Season-long attacking and defensive profiles indicate AFC Wimbledon prioritize defensive stability and opportunistic attacks, reflected in Maycock’s high shot volume. Leyton Orient show creative midfield play but less clinical finishing. This balance supports a cautious approach favoring AFC Wimbledon’s ability to avoid defeat rather than an outright home win.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Leyton Orient Over 2.5

-AFC Wimbledon Over 2.5

2.63H2H avg goals

Over the last eight meetings, the average goals per game is 2.63, indicating moderate scoring tempo. The cup setting and tactical caution likely suppress goal totals further, suggesting a match with controlled tempo and limited open-play chances, consistent with a double chance bet favoring defensive resilience and risk mitigation.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Leyton Orient v AFC Wimbledon Stats

Match Report

AFC Wimbledon or Draw

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Leyton Orient

AFC Wimbledon

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Football Stats Hub

Leyton Orient v AFC Wimbledon Stats

Match Report

AFC Wimbledon or Draw

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Leyton Orient

AFC Wimbledon

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