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Lens crestLens
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

Ligue 1 | Sun 03 Jan, 19:45

Lens v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Tue 20 Oct 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lens face Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 on Sun 03 Jan, 19:45. Given Lens’ resilience and attacking volume at home, a 2-1 scoreline aligns with PSG's tendency to win efficiently while Lens maintain their record of scoring in every home league fixture.

BT4Y best bet

The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal

  • At 21/10, The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10)
  • Lens show a 80% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Lens average 1.6 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 47% for The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Lens show a 80% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10)

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Lens show a 80% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain.Visible data support
Positive
Lens average 1.6 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10) Lens show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The only real concern for PSG is what happens if they concede first.

Main risk

The only real concern for PSG is what happens if they concede first.

Key Data Signals

The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal evidence

🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10)

Lens show a 80% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Lens average 1.6 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lens1.6
Avg goals scored
Paris Saint Germain2
Lens1.4
Avg goals conceded
Paris Saint Germain1
Lens80%
BTTS rate
Paris Saint Germain80%
Lens80%
Over 2.5 goals
Paris Saint Germain80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lens

WWLDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 3L
17 Oct 2026A Estac Troyes3-1
09 Oct 2026H Lyon2-1
18 Sep 2026A Monaco1-2
13 Sep 2026A Le Mans2-2
05 Sep 2026H Lorient0-1

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 1L
17 Oct 2026A Strasbourg3-1
10 Oct 2026H Le Mans3-1
20 Sep 2026A Marseille2-1
13 Sep 2026A Stade Brestois 291-0
04 Sep 2026H Monaco1-2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Lens Over 2.5
80%Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lens sit at 80% and Paris Saint Germain sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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