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Lens crestLens
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

Ligue 1 | Wed 13 May, 20:00

Lens v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 03:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lens face Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 on Wed 13 May, 20:00. Given Lens’ resilience and attacking volume at home, a 2-1 scoreline aligns with PSG's tendency to win efficiently while Lens maintain their record of scoring in every home league fixture.

BT4Y best bet

The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal

  • At 21/10, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10)
  • Lens show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Lens average 1.6 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Lens show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Paris Saint Germain show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10)

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Lens show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain.Visible data support
Positive
Lens average 1.6 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10) Lens show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Paris Saint Germain show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The only real concern for PSG is what happens if they concede first.

Main risk

The only real concern for PSG is what happens if they concede first.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10)

Lens show a 60% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Lens average 1.6 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lens1.6
Avg goals scored
Paris Saint Germain2
Lens1.8
Avg goals conceded
Paris Saint Germain0.8
Lens60%
BTTS rate
Paris Saint Germain40%
Lens60%
Over 2.5 goals
Paris Saint Germain80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for Lens and 40% for Paris Saint Germain, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Paris Saint Germain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Lens to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lens7.8
Avg corners for
Paris Saint Germain9.8
Lens10.6
Avg total corners
Paris Saint Germain13.8
Lens2.2
Avg yellow cards
Paris Saint Germain2
Lens20.2
Avg shots
Paris Saint Germain20.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 52% · edge +16.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lens

WDDWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
08 May 2026H Nantes1-0
02 May 2026A Nice1-1
24 Apr 2026A Stade Brestois 293-3
17 Apr 2026H Toulouse3-2
04 Apr 2026A Lille0-3

Paris Saint Germain

WDWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
10 May 2026H Stade Brestois 291-0
02 May 2026H Lorient2-2
25 Apr 2026A Angers3-0
22 Apr 2026H Nantes3-0
19 Apr 2026H Lyon1-2
Best odds for this sectionParis Saint Germain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 49% · edge +17.4 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.79
Check odds @ 1.79
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Lens to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Lens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Lens wins
3Draws
6Paris Saint Germain wins
14 Sep 2025Paris Saint Germain v Lens2-0
18 Jan 2025Lens v Paris Saint Germain1-2
22 Dec 2024Lens v Paris Saint Germain1-1
02 Nov 2024Paris Saint Germain v Lens1-0
14 Jan 2024Lens v Paris Saint Germain0-2
26 Aug 2023Paris Saint Germain v Lens3-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Paris Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Lens to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ligue 1

Lens34
Played
Paris Saint Germain34
Lens1.9
Avg goals for
Paris Saint Germain2.2
Lens1
Avg goals against
Paris Saint Germain0.9
Lens12
Clean sheets
Paris Saint Germain18
Best odds for this sectionParis Saint Germain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 49% · edge +17.4 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Paris Saint Germain to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Lens to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Lens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season data supports Paris Saint Germain Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Paris Saint Germain7634244645
2Lens7034224831
Lens sit in position 2, while Paris Saint Germain sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Lens Over 2.5
80%Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lens sit at 60% and Paris Saint Germain sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Lens v Paris Saint Germain prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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