Football Stats Hub

Lens crestLens
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

Ligue 1 | Sun 03 Jan, 19:45

Lens v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 12:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lens face Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 on Sun 03 Jan, 19:45. Given Lens’ resilience and attacking volume at home, a 2-1 scoreline aligns with PSG's tendency to win efficiently while Lens maintain their record of scoring in every home league fixture.

BT4Y best bet

The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal

  • At 21/10, The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10)
  • Lens show a 80% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Lens average 1.6 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 47% for The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Lens show a 80% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10)

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Lens show a 80% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain.Visible data support
Positive
Lens average 1.6 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10) Lens show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Paris Saint Germain show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The only real concern for PSG is what happens if they concede first.

Main risk

The only real concern for PSG is what happens if they concede first.

Key Data Signals

The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal evidence

🎯 PSG to Win & Both Teams to Score (21/10)

Lens show a 80% BTTS rate and Paris Saint Germain show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Lens average 1.6 goals scored and Paris Saint Germain average 2.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

The winner of the match and also predict that both sides will score at least one goal notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lens1.6
Avg goals scored
Paris Saint Germain2.8
Lens1.2
Avg goals conceded
Paris Saint Germain0.6
Lens80%
BTTS rate
Paris Saint Germain60%
Lens80%
Over 2.5 goals
Paris Saint Germain60%

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lens

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
08 Nov 2026H Marseille1-2
30 Oct 2026A Lille0-1
24 Oct 2026H Paris FC2-1
17 Oct 2026A Estac Troyes3-1
09 Oct 2026H Lyon2-1

Paris Saint Germain

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
07 Nov 2026H Estac Troyes1-0
30 Oct 2026A Le Havre5-1
26 Oct 2026H Lyon2-0
17 Oct 2026A Strasbourg3-1
10 Oct 2026H Le Mans3-1

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Lens Over 2.5
60%Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lens sit at 80% and Paris Saint Germain sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…