Football Stats Hub

Lens crestLens
v
Nice crestNice

Coupe de France | Fri 22 May, 20:00

Lens v Nice Stats

Data last updated: Tue 09 Jun 2026, 05:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lens face Nice in Coupe de France on Fri 22 May, 20:00. Lens are currently overflowing with and average four goals per match in this competition. Lens enter this tournament finale with heavy support following five wins in their last eight games, contrasted with Nice's solitary victory in nine.

BT4Y best bet

Lens 2-1 Nice Correct Score Lifting the Coupe de France requires balancing attacking ambition with knockout discipline

  • At 21/10, Lens Win & BTTS implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals across four cup fixtures.
  • Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Lens on 13 and Nice on 11.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Lens and 60% for Nice.
  • Lens Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 3.2 for Lens and 1.6 for Nice are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Lens Win & BTTS sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Lens on 13 and Nice on 11. Lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals across four cup fixtures.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lens Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals across four cup fixtures. Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Lens on 13 and Nice on 11. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Lens Win & BTTS evidence

Lens possess a relentlessly dangerous attack, scoring sixteen goals across four cup fixtures.

Lens need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Lens on 13 and Nice on 11.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Lens and 60% for Nice.

Lens Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 3.2 for Lens and 1.6 for Nice are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Lens Win & BTTS notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lens7.4
Avg corners for
Nice7.4
Lens10.8
Avg total corners
Nice8.8
Lens1.4
Avg yellow cards
Nice1.8
Lens18
Avg shots
Nice11
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 54% · edge +9.2 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lens3.2
Avg goals scored
Nice1.6
Lens1.2
Avg goals conceded
Nice0.8
Lens80%
BTTS rate
Nice60%
Lens100%
Over 2.5 goals
Nice40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 55% · edge +21.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 44%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLens Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +11.9 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Lens to WinBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Lens Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lens

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
21 Apr 2026H Toulouse4-1
05 Mar 2026A Lyon2-2
04 Feb 2026A Estac Troyes4-2
11 Jan 2026A Sochaux3-0
19 Dec 2025H Feignies-Aulnoye3-1

Nice

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 0L
22 Apr 2026A Strasbourg2-0
04 Mar 2026A Lorient0-0
04 Feb 2026H Montpellier3-2
11 Jan 2026A Nantes1-1
21 Dec 2025H Saint Etienne2-1
Market aligned with main pickLens Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +11.9 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Lens to WinBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Lens wins
3Draws
5Nice wins
02 May 2026Nice v Lens1-1
14 Dec 2025Lens v Nice2-0
08 Feb 2025Nice v Lens2-0
28 Sep 2024Lens v Nice0-0
16 Mar 2024Lens v Nice1-3
20 Dec 2023Nice v Lens2-0
Market aligned with main pickLens to WinBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 68% · edge -6.1 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for Lens to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Coupe de France

Lens6
Played
Nice6
Lens3.3
Avg goals for
Nice1.8
Lens1.2
Avg goals against
Nice1.2
Lens1
Clean sheets
Nice2
Market aligned with main pickLens Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +11.9 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
Lens to WinBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Season data supports Lens Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Lens Over 2.5
40%Nice Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lens sit at 100% and Nice sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.