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Lens crestLens
v
Auxerre crestAuxerre

Ligue 1 | Sat 22 Aug, 16:15

Lens v Auxerre Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 11:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lens face Auxerre in Ligue 1 on Sat 22 Aug, 16:15. Auxerre won only two of 17 away league games last term, despite finishing last season with three consecutive victories overall.

BT4Y match pick

Lens to win and both teams to score

  • At 21/10, Lens to win and both teams to score implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 31%.
  • Lens vs Auxerre: Home Strength Meets an Improving Away Side.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 31% for Lens to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Lens vs Auxerre: Home Strength Meets an Improving Away Side.

Model chance vs price31% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Neutral
Lens vs Auxerre: Home Strength Meets an Improving Away.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -1.4 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lens Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because lens vs Auxerre: Home Strength Meets an Improving Away Side. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Lens to win and both teams to score evidence

Lens vs Auxerre: Home Strength Meets an Improving Away Side.

What To Watch In The Data

Lens to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lens

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Lens yet.

Auxerre

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Auxerre yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 88% · edge -4.9 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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Lens to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Lens Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lens-
Avg goals scored
Auxerre-
Lens-
Avg goals conceded
Auxerre-
Lens-
BTTS rate
Auxerre-
Lens-
Over 2.5 goals
Auxerre-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 46% · edge +7 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Ligue 1 fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLens to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 67% · edge -6.2 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Lens Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Lens to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Lens Over 2.5
-Auxerre Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Lens vs Auxerre: Home Strength Meets an Improving Away Side.

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