Football Stats Hub

Lech Poznan crestLech Poznan
v
Zaglebie Lubin crestZaglebie Lubin

Ekstraklasa | Sun 08 Nov, 19:15

Lech Poznan v Zaglebie Lubin Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lech Poznan hosts Zaglebie Lubin in an Ekstraklasa clash where Lech Poznan leads the table with strong recent form, having secured 15 points from their last five matches and scoring four goals while conceding just one. Zaglebie Lubin, ranked sixth, have struggled for goals recently, netting only once in their last five games and conceding at a higher rate. This fixture presents a tactical contrast between Lech Poznan's potent attack and Zaglebie Lubin's defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for an open contest with potential for goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Lech Poznan scored in all recent matches with a 100% BTTS rate.
  • Zaglebie Lubin has a 40% BTTS rate, showing some scoring capability.
  • Lech Poznan averages 17 shots and 6.6 shots on target per match, indicating strong offensive pressure.
  • Zaglebie Lubin concedes 1.4 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailty.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.6 over the last 10 meetings, supporting goal-scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at a 76% chance, reflecting Lech Poznan's consistent scoring and Zaglebie Lubin's ability to find the net despite defensive lapses. Lech Poznan's perfect BTTS record in recent matches and high shot volume combine with Zaglebie Lubin's moderate scoring frequency to create a strong probability for goals from both sides. The price offers positive value with a 16.1% edge and solid , making this an attractive selection for goal-oriented bettors.

Lech Poznan BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Zaglebie Lubin BTTS Rate40% recent matches
Positive
Lech Poznan Shots per Match17 average shots
Strong positive
Zaglebie Lubin Goals Against1.4 per match
Positive
Model Confidence88%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a compelling pick given Lech Poznan's attacking control and Zaglebie Lubin's defensive vulnerabilities. Lech Poznan's high shot volume and perfect recent BTTS record suggest they will score, while Zaglebie Lubin's ability to score in some matches supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. This bet aligns well with the tactical and statistical profile of the fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Lech Poznan's offensive firepower combined with Zaglebie Lubin's defensive lapses creates a fertile ground for goals from both sides. Expect an open game where both teams find the net, reflecting their recent scoring patterns and tactical approaches.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Lech Poznan scored in all recent matches with a 100% BTTS rate.

Zaglebie Lubin has a 40% BTTS rate, showing some scoring capability.

Lech Poznan averages 17 shots and 6.6 shots on target per match, indicating strong offensive pressure.

Zaglebie Lubin concedes 1.4 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailty.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, with a trend towards open games featuring multiple goals.
  • Lech Poznan's 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches supports a high-tempo, attacking fixture, while Zaglebie Lubin's 40% rate indicates occasional goal contributions, making Over 2.5 Goals a plausible outcome alongside BTTS.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lech Poznan4
Avg goals scored
Zaglebie Lubin1
Lech Poznan1
Avg goals conceded
Zaglebie Lubin1.4
Lech Poznan100%
BTTS rate
Zaglebie Lubin40%
Lech Poznan100%
Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Lech Poznan's recent matches have all featured goals from both sides, highlighting their offensive consistency and defensive openness. Zaglebie Lubin's 40% BTTS rate and the 2.6 average goals in their head-to-head encounters suggest this fixture is likely to produce goals at both ends, combining attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Lech Poznan to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Lech Poznan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Zaglebie Lubin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
The 74.9% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Lech Poznan show a 100% BTTS rate and Zaglebie Lubin show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lech Poznan

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 0D 1L
31 Oct 2026H Wisla Krakow3-1
25 Oct 2026A Legia Warszawa2-1
18 Oct 2026H Korona Kielce6-1
10 Oct 2026A Slask Wroclaw4-1
20 Sep 2026H Radomiak Radom5-1

Zaglebie Lubin

WDWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
02 Nov 2026H Korona Kielce1-0
23 Oct 2026A Motor Lublin2-2
18 Oct 2026H Jagiellonia1-0
10 Oct 2026A Cracovia Krakow1-3
20 Sep 2026H Wisla Plock0-2
Best odds for this sectionLech Poznan to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +5 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Lech Poznan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Zaglebie Lubin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Zaglebie Lubin to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Lech Poznan's recent form is impressive, securing 15 points and scoring four goals while conceding only once in their last five matches, maintaining a 100% BTTS rate. Zaglebie Lubin's form is less potent, with only seven points and a single goal scored, but their defensive concessions suggest they remain vulnerable to conceding goals, supporting the BTTS outlook.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Lech Poznan Over 2.5
40%Zaglebie Lubin Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, with a trend towards open games featuring multiple goals. Lech Poznan's 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches supports a high-tempo, attacking fixture, while Zaglebie Lubin's 40% rate indicates occasional goal contributions, making Over 2.5 Goals a plausible outcome alongside BTTS.

Loading deeper match data…