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Lech Poznan crestLech Poznan
v
Korona Kielce crestKorona Kielce

Ekstraklasa | Sun 18 Oct, 16:30

Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lech Poznan hosts Korona Kielce in an Ekstraklasa clash where both teams have shown attacking intent this season. Lech Poznan, sitting second in the table, boasts a strong offensive record with an average of 2.6 goals scored per game and a high BTTS rate of 80%. Korona Kielce, ranked eighth, has struggled defensively but still manages to find the net regularly, averaging 1.2 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate. This fixture promises open play with both sides capable of scoring, reflecting their recent form and league positions.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Lech Poznan scores 2.6 goals per game with 80% BTTS rate
  • Korona Kielce averages 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.6
  • Recent form shows Lech Poznan with 12 points and Korona Kielce with 7
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7 over last 10 matches
  • Lech Poznan averages 19 shots per game, Korona Kielce 13.4 with similar shots on target

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Both Teams to Score with a 76% chance, supported by Lech Poznan's potent attack and Korona Kielce's ability to score despite defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have high BTTS rates this season, and the match-up historically averages 2.7 goals per game, indicating open play. The price offers positive value with a 17.2% edge and standard staking recommended. The data quality is solid, with no limitations on team stats, reinforcing in this pick.

Lech Poznan attack strength2.6 goals per game, 80% BTTS rate
Strong positive
Korona Kielce scoring ability1.2 goals per game, 60% BTTS rate
Positive
Historical goals average2.7 goals per game in last 10 meetings
Positive
Model confidence88%
Strong positive
Value edge73.8% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability this season, with Lech Poznan's strong offense and Korona Kielce's resilience in attack making Both Teams to Score a compelling choice. The data supports an open game scenario where both sides find the net, reflecting their recent form and attacking tendencies.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two teams with clear offensive intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making Both Teams to Score a logical and data-backed selection. The attacking roles and shot volumes suggest goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Lech Poznan scores 2.6 goals per game with 80% BTTS rate

Korona Kielce averages 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.6

Recent form shows Lech Poznan with 12 points and Korona Kielce with 7

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7 over last 10 matches

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, with a notable frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This trend reflects a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of Both Teams to Score in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lech Poznan2.6
Avg goals scored
Korona Kielce1.2
Lech Poznan1
Avg goals conceded
Korona Kielce1.6
Lech Poznan80%
BTTS rate
Korona Kielce60%
Lech Poznan80%
Over 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have high BTTS rates this season, with Lech Poznan at 80% and Korona Kielce at 60%. Their combined attacking output and defensive lapses suggest a match likely to feature goals from both sides, supported by an average of 2.7 goals in their recent head-to-head encounters.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Lech Poznan to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Korona Kielce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Lech Poznan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Korona Kielce to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The 73.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Lech Poznan show a 80% BTTS rate and Korona Kielce show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lech Poznan

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 1L
10 Oct 2026A Slask Wroclaw4-1
20 Sep 2026H Radomiak Radom5-1
12 Sep 2026A Gornik Zabrze1-2
06 Sep 2026H Raków Częstochowa1-0
03 Sep 2026H Jagiellonia2-1

Korona Kielce

LWLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Pogon Szczecin0-2
19 Sep 2026H Raków Częstochowa3-2
15 Sep 2026H Gornik Zabrze0-2
12 Sep 2026A Slask Wroclaw2-1
05 Sep 2026H Wisla Krakow1-1
Best odds for this sectionLech Poznan to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Korona Kielce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Lech Poznan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Korona Kielce to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Lech Poznan has accumulated 12 points recently, scoring 2.6 goals per game and maintaining an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting strong offensive form. Korona Kielce's 7 points with 1.2 goals per game and 60% BTTS rate show resilience and scoring capability despite defensive challenges, supporting the Both Teams to Score outlook.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Lech Poznan Over 2.5
40%Korona Kielce Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, with a notable frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend reflects a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of Both Teams to Score in this fixture.

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