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Leccev
JuventusSerie A | Sat 09 May, 19:45
Lecce v Juventus Stats
BT4Y best bet
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 2.1, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 48% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 66%, so the current line is showing a +18.4-point value edge.
- Lecce are at 40% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Juventus are at 0%, and the H2H goal average is 2.3.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Lecce have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Juventus have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2.1, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
40%Lecce Over 2.5
0%Juventus Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Lecce
WDDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 2D 6L
01 May 2026A Pisa2-1
25 Apr 2026A Hellas Verona0-0
20 Apr 2026H Fiorentina1-1
12 Apr 2026A Bologna0-2
06 Apr 2026H Atalanta0-3
Juventus
DDWWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 105W 4D 1L
03 May 2026H Hellas Verona1-1
26 Apr 2026A AC Milan0-0
19 Apr 2026H Bologna2-0
11 Apr 2026A Atalanta1-0
06 Apr 2026H Genoa2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Lecce0.6
Avg goals scoredJuventus1.2
Lecce1.4
Avg goals concededJuventus0.2
Lecce40%
BTTS rateJuventus20%
Lecce40%
Over 2.5 goalsJuventus0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 48% · edge +18.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
0Lecce wins
4Draws
6Juventus wins
03 Jan 2026Juventus v Lecce1-1
12 Apr 2025Juventus v Lecce2-1
01 Dec 2024Lecce v Juventus1-1
21 Jan 2024Lecce v Juventus0-3
26 Sep 2023Juventus v Lecce1-0
03 May 2023Juventus v Lecce2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 69% · edge +1 pts
1.45
Bet HERE @ 1.45Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Lecce3.6
Avg corners forJuventus6
Lecce8.2
Avg total cornersJuventus10.2
Lecce2.2
Avg yellow cardsJuventus2.4
Lecce10
Avg shotsJuventus15.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 62% · edge +6.2 pts
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
A. MilikJuventus · Attacker
Goal threat73/100
Shots /905.29
SOT /905.29
J. BogaJuventus · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.46
SOT /901.48
K. YıldızJuventus · Attacker
Goal threat68/100
Shots /901.99
SOT /901.28
E. ZhegrovaJuventus · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /902.65
SOT /902.12
Vasilije AdžićJuventus · Midfielder
Goal threat56/100
Shots /902.33
SOT /901.87
D. VlahovićJuventus · Attacker
Goal threat68/100
Shots /903.01
SOT /901.45
L. BandaLecce · Attacker
Goal threat39/100
Shots /901.1
SOT /900.58
K. N’DriLecce · Attacker
Goal threat47/100
Shots /902.37
SOT /900.91
Season team stats
Serie A
Lecce35
PlayedJuventus35
Lecce0.7
Avg goals forJuventus1.7
Lecce1.3
Avg goals againstJuventus0.9
Lecce9
Clean sheetsJuventus15
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 50% · edge +26 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Juventus | 65 | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 28 |
| 17 | Lecce | 32 | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -23 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
