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LDU de Quito crestLDU de Quito
v
Lanus crestLanus

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Thu 21 May, 01:30

LDU de Quito v Lanus Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • At 2, Over 3.5 Cards is priced at roughly 50% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 66%, so the current line is showing a +15.6-point value edge.
  • The disciplinary read shows average yellow-card figures of 2.75 for LDU de Quito and 1.5 for Lanus in detailed recent samples.
  • The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: LDU de Quito have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, averaging 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded.
  • The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: Lanus have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, with BTTS landing in 0% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 50% · edge +15.6 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.42
Bet HERE @ 1.42
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

0%LDU de Quito Over 2.5
25%Lanus Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

LDU de Quito

LLWW
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
07 May 2026A Mirassol0-2
28 Apr 2026A Lanus0-1
15 Apr 2026H Mirassol2-0
08 Apr 2026A Always Ready1-0

Lanus

LWWL
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
06 May 2026A Always Ready0-4
28 Apr 2026H LDU de Quito1-0
16 Apr 2026H Always Ready1-0
08 Apr 2026A Mirassol0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetfred guide price · Model 37% vs implied 23% · edge +13.5 pts
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.42
Bet HERE @ 1.42
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

LDU de Quito0.75
Avg goals scored
Lanus0.5
LDU de Quito0.75
Avg goals conceded
Lanus1.25
LDU de Quito0%
BTTS rate
Lanus0%
LDU de Quito0%
Over 2.5 goals
Lanus25%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 59% · edge +9.2 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0LDU de Quito wins
0Draws
3Lanus wins
28 Apr 2026Lanus v LDU de Quito1-0
22 Aug 2024Lanus v LDU de Quito3-1
15 Aug 2024LDU de Quito v Lanus1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetfred guide price · Model 37% vs implied 23% · edge +13.5 pts
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

LDU de Quito3
Avg corners for
Lanus7.5
LDU de Quito8.5
Avg total corners
Lanus10.5
LDU de Quito2.75
Avg yellow cards
Lanus1.5
LDU de Quito11.75
Avg shots
Lanus12.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 50% · edge +15.6 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 59%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleM. Moreno Anytime GoalscorerM. Moreno · 0 goals · 1.94 SOT/90
72/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
M. Moreno 1+ Shot On TargetM. Moreno · 1.94 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
M. Moreno 2+ ShotsM. Moreno · 3.39 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
M. Moreno To Assist / Key Pass AngleM. Moreno · 1 assists · 3.39 key passes/90
73/100
Bet HERE
E. Salvio To Be FouledE. Salvio · 2.64 fouls won/90
72/100
Bet HERE
J. Cuero Card RiskJ. Cuero · 1 yellows · 0 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
M. Moreno
M. MorenoLanus · Midfielder
Goal threat52/100
Shots /903.39
SOT /901.94
A. Cardozo
A. CardozoLanus · Midfielder
Goal threat29/100
Shots /900.48
SOT /900.48
J. Corozo
J. CorozoLDU de Quito · Attacker
Goal threat29/100
Shots /903.24
SOT /901.29
D. Aquino
D. AquinoLanus · Attacker
Goal threat25/100
Shots /901.68
SOT /901.68
M. Estrada
M. EstradaLDU de Quito · Attacker
Goal threat11/100
Shots /901.91
SOT /900
J. Cuero
J. CueroLDU de Quito · Defender
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Yerlin Quinonez
Yerlin QuinonezLDU de Quito · Defender
Goal threat24/100
Shots /900.79
SOT /900.52
G. Allala
G. AllalaLDU de Quito · Defender
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

LDU de Quito4
Played
Lanus4
LDU de Quito0.8
Avg goals for
Lanus0.5
LDU de Quito0.8
Avg goals against
Lanus1.3
LDU de Quito2
Clean sheets
Lanus2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetfred guide price · Model 37% vs implied 23% · edge +13.5 pts
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.42
Bet HERE @ 1.42
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2LDU de Quito642020
3Lanus64202-3

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

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