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Lazio crestLazio
v
Pisa crestPisa

Serie A | Sat 23 May, 19:45

Lazio v Pisa Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 06:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lazio face Pisa in Serie A on Sat 23 May, 19:45. Pisa have lost eight consecutive league games while conceding 20 goals during that run. Pisa are enduring an extreme collapse, losing eight consecutive fixtures while conceding 20 goals during this brutal run.

BT4Y best bet

Lazio to Win & Over 2

  • At 11/10, Lazio Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Facing a relegated side with nothing to lose, the hosts are highly likely to breach the visitors' fragile line but will remain vulnerable.
  • Lazio have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Pisa.
  • Lazio have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Lazio Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Lazio sit 9 in the table, while Pisa sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Lazio Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Lazio have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Pisa. Facing a relegated side with nothing to lose, the hosts are highly likely to breach the visitors' fragile line but will remain vulnerable.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Lazio have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Lazio have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Facing a relegated side with nothing to lose, the.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lazio Win is the preferred angle because facing a relegated side with nothing to lose, the hosts are highly likely to breach the visitors' fragile line but will remain vulnerable to defensive lapses, pointing directly toward a. Lazio have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Pisa. Without that transitional quality, they risk spending the evening trapped deep inside their own half.

Main risk

Without that transitional quality, they risk spending the evening trapped deep inside their own half.

Key Data Signals

Lazio Win evidence

Facing a relegated side with nothing to lose, the hosts are highly likely to breach the visitors' fragile.

Lazio have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Pisa.

Lazio have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Lazio Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Lazio sit 9 in the table, while Pisa sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Lazio Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Lazio1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Pisa0.4
    Lazio1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Pisa2.2
    Lazio40%
    BTTS rate
    Pisa40%
    Lazio60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Pisa80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +4.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 40% for Lazio and 40% for Pisa, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLazio to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 74%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Lazio Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Lazio to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Lazio3
    Avg corners for
    Pisa3.4
    Lazio8.8
    Avg total corners
    Pisa8.6
    Lazio2.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Pisa3
    Lazio10
    Avg shots
    Pisa9
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 49% · edge +25.6 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Lazio

    LLWDW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    17 May 2026A AS Roma0-2
    09 May 2026H Inter0-3
    04 May 2026A Cremonese2-1
    27 Apr 2026H Udinese3-3
    18 Apr 2026A Napoli2-0

    Pisa

    LLLLL
    Last 50W 0D 5L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 9L
    17 May 2026H Napoli0-3
    10 May 2026A Cremonese0-3
    01 May 2026H Lecce1-2
    25 Apr 2026A Parma0-1
    19 Apr 2026H Genoa1-2
    Market aligned with main pickLazio to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Lazio Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Lazio wins
    1Draws
    0Pisa wins
    30 Oct 2025Pisa v Lazio0-0
    Market aligned with main pickLazio to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Lazio to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Lazio38
    Played
    Pisa38
    Lazio1.1
    Avg goals for
    Pisa0.7
    Lazio1.1
    Avg goals against
    Pisa1.9
    Lazio15
    Clean sheets
    Pisa5
    Market aligned with main pickLazio to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Lazio Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Season data supports Lazio to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    9Lazio54381412121
    20Pisa183821224-45
    Lazio sit in position 9, while Pisa sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Lazio Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Lazio Over 2.5
    80%Pisa Over 2.5
    0H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lazio sit at 60% and Pisa sit at 80% with the H2H average at 0 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.