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Lazio crestLazio
v
Inter crestInter

Serie A | Wed 06 Jan, 17:30

Lazio v Inter Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 10:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lazio face Inter in Serie A on Wed 06 Jan, 17:30. Currently enjoying an "avalanche" of form with 22 goals in seven matches, they face a Lazio side that has lost five of seven home matches against elite league opposition.

BT4Y best bet

Lazio Win

  • Lazio Win is rated around 41% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Lazio have struggled for defensive consistency, conceding three times to Inter on Saturday.
  • Lazio have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Lazio Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Lazio sit 2 in the table, while Inter sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Lazio Win around 41% on the latest available numbers. Lazio have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Lazio Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Lazio have struggled for defensive consistency, conceding three times to Inter on Saturday.

Lazio have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Lazio sit 2 in the table, while Inter sit 1.Visible data support
Positive
Lazio have struggled for defensive consistency, conceding three times.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Lazio Win is the preferred angle because lazio have struggled for defensive consistency, conceding three times to Inter on Saturday. Lazio have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Lazio Win angle more than a raw possession edge. A higher-risk market where you must predict the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes.

Main risk

A higher-risk market where you must predict the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes.

Key Data Signals

Lazio Win evidence

Lazio have struggled for defensive consistency, conceding three times to Inter on Saturday.

Lazio have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Lazio Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Lazio sit 2 in the table, while Inter sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Lazio Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Lazio2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Inter3.2
    Lazio0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Inter1.6
    Lazio60%
    BTTS rate
    Inter80%
    Lazio80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Inter100%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Lazio

    WWWDW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 1D 0L
    18 Oct 2026A Juventus3-0
    11 Oct 2026H Monza3-1
    19 Sep 2026A Venezia2-0
    12 Sep 2026H AC Milan2-2
    07 Sep 2026A Udinese2-1

    Inter

    WWDWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 1D 0L
    17 Oct 2026A Bologna3-1
    10 Oct 2026H Parma3-0
    19 Sep 2026A AS Roma2-2
    14 Sep 2026H Udinese5-3
    05 Sep 2026H Napoli3-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Lazio Over 2.5
    100%Inter Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lazio sit at 80% and Inter sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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