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Lazio crestLazio
v
Inter crestInter

Serie A | Sat 09 May, 17:00

Lazio v Inter Stats

BT4Y best bet

Inter to Win

  • At 1.8, Inter to Win is priced at roughly 56% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +14.4-point value edge.
  • Lazio have a recent record of 2W-2D-1L, while Inter come in at 4W-1D-0L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Inter to Win angle: Lazio have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Inter to Win angle: Inter have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.8, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.5 pts
1.68
Bet HERE @ 1.68
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Lazio Over 2.5
80%Inter Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Lazio

WDWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
04 May 2026A Cremonese2-1
27 Apr 2026H Udinese3-3
18 Apr 2026A Napoli2-0
13 Apr 2026A Fiorentina0-1
04 Apr 2026H Parma1-1

Inter

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
03 May 2026H Parma2-0
26 Apr 2026A Torino2-2
17 Apr 2026H Cagliari3-0
12 Apr 2026A Como4-3
05 Apr 2026H AS Roma5-2
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.5 pts
1.68
Bet HERE @ 1.68
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Lazio1.6
Avg goals scored
Inter3.2
Lazio1.2
Avg goals conceded
Inter1.4
Lazio60%
BTTS rate
Inter60%
Lazio40%
Over 2.5 goals
Inter80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1Lazio wins
2Draws
7Inter wins
09 Nov 2025Inter v Lazio2-0
18 May 2025Inter v Lazio2-2
25 Feb 2025Inter v Lazio2-0
16 Dec 2024Lazio v Inter0-6
19 May 2024Inter v Lazio1-1
19 Jan 2024Inter v Lazio3-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Lazio4
Avg corners for
Inter5
Lazio9.4
Avg total corners
Inter9.4
Lazio2.2
Avg yellow cards
Inter2
Lazio11
Avg shots
Inter13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleLautaro Martínez Anytime GoalscorerLautaro Martínez · 16 goals · 1.63 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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Lautaro Martínez 1+ Shot On TargetLautaro Martínez · 1.63 shots on target/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Lautaro Martínez 2+ ShotsLautaro Martínez · 2.95 shots/90
78/100
Bet HERE
F. Dimarco To Assist / Key Pass AngleF. Dimarco · 16 assists · 3.19 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
M. Zaccagni To Be FouledM. Zaccagni · 3.49 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
S. Esposito Card RiskS. Esposito · 2 yellows · 3.1 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Lautaro Martínez
Lautaro MartínezInter · Attacker
Goal threat97/100
Shots /902.95
SOT /901.63
M. Thuram
M. ThuramInter · Attacker
Goal threat87/100
Shots /902.65
SOT /901.4
H. Çalhanoğlu
H. ÇalhanoğluInter · Midfielder
Goal threat69/100
Shots /902.02
SOT /900.93
F. Esposito
F. EspositoInter · Attacker
Goal threat68/100
Shots /902.54
SOT /901.36
S. Esposito
S. EspositoInter · Attacker
Goal threat13/100
Shots /901.72
SOT /900
L. Pellegrini
L. PellegriniLazio · Defender
Goal threat20/100
Shots /900.41
SOT /900.28
M. Guendouzi
M. GuendouziLazio · Midfielder
Goal threat32/100
Shots /900.88
SOT /900.5
Season team stats

Serie A

Lazio35
Played
Inter35
Lazio1.1
Avg goals for
Inter2.3
Lazio1
Avg goals against
Inter0.9
Lazio15
Clean sheets
Inter17
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.5 pts
1.68
Bet HERE @ 1.68
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Bet HERE @ 4.5
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Inter8235264551
8Lazio51351312105

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.