Football Stats Hub

KPV-j crestKPV-j
v
SalPa crestSalPa

Ykkönen | Sat 01 Aug, 15:00

KPV-j v SalPa Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 04:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

KPV-j and SalPa face off in a Ykkönen clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for an open game. SalPa's higher league standing and recent form, including scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match, contrasts with KPV-j's struggle to keep clean sheets, conceding 1.8 goals on average. Both teams have shown a propensity for matches with multiple goals, suggesting a lively encounter with chances at both ends. Tactical openness and the need for points add to the likelihood of a goal-rich contest.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • KPV-j concedes 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • SalPa scores 1.4 goals per match, showing attacking capability.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.25 over four meetings.
  • KPV-j has an 80% BTTS rate, supporting goal-scoring chances at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 70.5% chance, reflecting both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive lapses. KPV-j's high BTTS rate and SalPa's consistent scoring underpin this outlook. The head-to-head average of 3.25 goals further supports a goal-heavy match. Data quality is solid with no significant limitations, making this a confident selection based on recent form and season-long trends.

Model Chance70.5%
Strong positive
KPV-j Defensive Record1.8 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
SalPa Scoring Rate1.4 goals per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals3.25 average goals per match
Positive
BTTS Rate KPV-j80%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as SalPa looks to maintain their strong league position while KPV-j seeks to capitalize on home advantage. The defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and recent goal trends point towards a match with multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match goal expectation

“This fixture's attacking profiles and defensive weaknesses suggest a lively encounter with plenty of goalmouth action, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

KPV-j concedes 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

SalPa scores 1.4 goals per match, showing attacking capability.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.25 over four meetings.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.25, exceeding the 2.5 threshold.
  • This recent trend, combined with both teams' 60% Over 2.5 rates this season, suggests a sustained pattern of open, high-tempo games conducive to multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

KPV-j1
Avg goals scored
SalPa1.4
KPV-j1.8
Avg goals conceded
SalPa1.2
KPV-j80%
BTTS rate
SalPa60%
KPV-j60%
Over 2.5 goals
SalPa60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 74% · edge -3 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both KPV-j and SalPa have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with KPV-j boasting an 80% BTTS rate. This combination highlights a pattern of open games with goals at both ends, supported by an average of 3.25 goals in their recent meetings, suggesting a high-scoring encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 74% · edge -3 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
KPV-j Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
SalPa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
KPV-j to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
SalPa to WinBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The Over 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model's 70.5% probability, indicating a strong football read for multiple goals. Without explicit , the selection stands as a solid data-driven choice, reflecting the attacking and defensive profiles of both teams.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

KPV-j

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
26 Jul 2026A OLS1-2
20 Jul 2026H Rops1-1
11 Jul 2026H TPV1-3
02 Jul 2026A FC jazz1-0
28 Jun 2026H PKKU1-3

SalPa

LWWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
25 Jul 2026H PKKU0-1
18 Jul 2026A Inter Turku II2-1
10 Jul 2026A Tampere United1-0
04 Jul 2026H VJS2-2
27 Jun 2026A Rops2-2
Best odds for this sectionKPV-j Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
SalPa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
KPV-j to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
SalPa to WinBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Recent form shows KPV-j earning 4 points with a 60% Over 2.5 rate, while SalPa has 8 points and the same Over 2.5 rate. Both teams' recent matches support the likelihood of multiple goals, reflecting ongoing offensive productivity and defensive challenges.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1KPV-j wins
1Draws
2SalPa wins
09 May 2026SalPa v KPV-j6-0
27 Sep 2023SalPa v KPV-j2-0
19 Aug 2023SalPa v KPV-j2-2
08 Jun 2023KPV-j v SalPa1-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 74% · edge -3 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
KPV-j to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
SalPa to WinBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The four recent meetings between KPV-j and SalPa have produced an average of 3.25 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests with multiple scoring opportunities. This head-to-head data supports expectations for Over 2.5 Goals in the upcoming match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

KPV-j16
Played
SalPa16
KPV-j0.9
Avg goals for
SalPa1.9
KPV-j3.1
Avg goals against
SalPa1.6
KPV-j2
Clean sheets
SalPa3
Best odds for this sectionKPV-j Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
SalPa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
KPV-j to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
SalPa to WinBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Season-long statistics reveal KPV-j concedes 1.8 goals per game and scores 1 goal, while SalPa scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2. These figures underline a tendency for open games with multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection based on attacking and defensive balance.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5SalPa26167545
12KPV-j9162311-36
SalPa's 4th place with 26 points contrasts with KPV-j's 12th place and 9 points, indicating differing stakes. SalPa's push for higher table positions may drive attacking intent, while KPV-j's need for points could lead to risk-taking, both factors favoring a goal-rich match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%KPV-j Over 2.5
60%SalPa Over 2.5
3.25H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.25, exceeding the 2.5 threshold. This recent trend, combined with both teams' 60% Over 2.5 rates this season, suggests a sustained pattern of open, high-tempo games conducive to multiple goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.