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Kosovo crestKosovo
v
Austria crestAustria

UEFA Nations League | Sun 04 Oct, 17:00

Kosovo v Austria Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 02:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kosovo face Austria in UEFA Nations League on Sun 04 Oct, 17:00. Austria travel to Pristina with control of Nations League Group 3, but their position at the top should not disguise the difficulty of Sunday’s assignment.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 4/6, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 72%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Kosovo show a 33% BTTS rate and Austria show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Kosovo average 0.67 goals scored and Austria average 2.67, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 72% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Kosovo show a 33% BTTS rate and Austria show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price72% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Positive
Kosovo show a 33% BTTS rate and Austria show a.Visible data support
Positive
Kosovo average 0.67 goals scored and Austria average 2.67, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Kosovo show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Austria show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The visitors have already shown they possess enough attacking quality to hurt Foda’s side, but the hosts’ ability to score regularly on their own ground raises the prospect of a much tighter.

Main risk

The visitors have already shown they possess enough attacking quality to hurt Foda’s side, but the hosts’ ability to score regularly on their own ground raises the prospect of a much tighter.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Kosovo show a 33% BTTS rate and Austria show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Kosovo average 0.67 goals scored and Austria average 2.67, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kosovo0.67
Avg goals scored
Austria2.67
Kosovo1
Avg goals conceded
Austria1.33
Kosovo33%
BTTS rate
Austria100%
Kosovo33%
Over 2.5 goals
Austria100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 60% · edge +12.3 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 60% · edge +12.3 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Austria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Austria to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Kosovo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Kosovo to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Nations League fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictionfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kosovo

DLW
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
01 Oct 2026A Israel0-0
27 Sep 2026A Austria1-3
24 Sep 2026H Rep. Of Ireland1-0

Austria

DWW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
01 Oct 2026A Rep. Of Ireland2-2
27 Sep 2026H Kosovo3-1
24 Sep 2026H Israel3-1
Best odds for this sectionAustria Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 61% · edge +14.1 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Austria to WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Kosovo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Kosovo to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Kosovo Over 2.5
100%Austria Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Kosovo sit at 33% and Austria sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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