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Kocaelispor crestKocaelispor
v
Göztepe crestGöztepe

Süper Lig | Sun 18 Oct, 14:00

Kocaelispor v Göztepe Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kocaelispor and Göztepe face off in a Süper Lig clash where attacking intent is evident on both sides. Kocaelispor has shown a balanced defensive record but modest scoring, while Göztepe’s offense is more prolific despite defensive vulnerabilities. Recent form data highlights Göztepe’s tendency to concede and score, suggesting an open game. The fixture’s stakes and tactical openness set the stage for both teams to find the net, with neither side demonstrating defensive solidity that would prevent goals from both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Kocaelispor concedes 0.8 goals per game but scores 1.2, showing moderate attacking output.
  • Göztepe averages 2.4 goals scored and concedes 2.2, indicating open matches with goals at both ends.
  • Göztepe has an 80% BTTS rate this season, while Kocaelispor’s BTTS rate is 40%, supporting a likelihood of both teams scoring.
  • The average shots on target per game are 4.6 for Kocaelispor and 5.8 for Göztepe, reflecting active offensive play from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, driven by Göztepe’s high scoring and conceding rates combined with Kocaelispor’s balanced but vulnerable defense. Göztepe’s 80% BTTS rate and Kocaelispor’s offensive efforts create a strong likelihood of goals from both teams. The market price at 1.73 offers positive value with a 15.5% edge, reflecting the model’s in an open, goal-rich encounter. No data limitations affect this assessment, making it a solid pick based on attacking and defensive profiles.

Göztepe BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Kocaelispor Goals Conceded0.8 per game
Positive
Göztepe Goals Scored2.4 per game
Strong positive
Market Value Edge72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to score and concede, with Göztepe’s attacking prowess balanced by defensive frailties. Kocaelispor’s moderate scoring and defense suggest a competitive match where both sides can find the net. The data supports a BTTS outcome as a logical expectation given the offensive profiles and recent form of both teams.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“This fixture’s attacking dynamics and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides make both teams to score a compelling angle, especially with Göztepe’s high BTTS rate and Kocaelispor’s willingness to attack.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Kocaelispor concedes 0.8 goals per game but scores 1.2, showing moderate attacking output.

Göztepe averages 2.4 goals scored and concedes 2.2, indicating open matches with goals at both ends.

Göztepe has an 80% BTTS rate this season, while Kocaelispor’s BTTS rate is 40%, supporting a likelihood of both teams scoring.

The average shots on target per game are 4.6 for Kocaelispor and 5.8 for Göztepe, reflecting active offensive play from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • However, Göztepe’s current 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season and Kocaelispor’s willingness to attack suggest this match could exceed that average, driven by tempo and attacking intent from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kocaelispor1.2
Avg goals scored
Göztepe2.4
Kocaelispor0.8
Avg goals conceded
Göztepe2.2
Kocaelispor40%
BTTS rate
Göztepe80%
Kocaelispor40%
Over 2.5 goals
Göztepe100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2
Check odds @ 2
Göztepe’s matches have frequently featured goals at both ends, with an 80% BTTS rate and a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, signaling open games. Kocaelispor’s lower BTTS rate of 40% is offset by their ability to score and concede, suggesting this fixture could follow the trend of goals from both teams.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Kocaelispor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Kocaelispor to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Göztepe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The 72.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Kocaelispor show a 40% BTTS rate and Göztepe show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kocaelispor

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Beşiktaş1-2
19 Sep 2026H Gaziantep FK2-0
13 Sep 2026A Galatasaray0-1
06 Sep 2026H Samsunspor1-0
29 Aug 2026A Konyaspor2-1

Göztepe

WDDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 3L
12 Oct 2026A Eyüpspor4-0
20 Sep 2026H Rizespor2-2
12 Sep 2026A Alanyaspor2-2
07 Sep 2026H Gaziantep FK2-4
29 Aug 2026A Galatasaray2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Kocaelispor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Kocaelispor to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Göztepe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Göztepe to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Recent form shows Kocaelispor earning 9 points with a modest scoring rate of 1.2 goals per game and conceding 0.8, indicating a relatively stable defense. Göztepe has collected 5 points but scores at a higher rate of 2.4 goals per game while conceding 2.2, reflecting a more open and attack-focused approach that supports the BTTS prediction.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Kocaelispor Over 2.5
100%Göztepe Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring. However, Göztepe’s current 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season and Kocaelispor’s willingness to attack suggest this match could exceed that average, driven by tempo and attacking intent from both sides.

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