Kilmarnock
ST MirrenPremiership | Sat 09 Jan, 15:00
Kilmarnock v ST Mirren Stats
Data last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026, 08:10 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Kilmarnock face ST Mirren in Premiership on Sat 09 Jan, 15:00. Kilmarnock host St Mirren at Rugby Park on Wednesday with two contrasting trends pulling this fixture in opposite directions.
Over 2
- At 20/23, Over 2 implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
- Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.
- The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Kilmarnock and 40% for ST Mirren, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
- Kilmarnock are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with ST Mirren at 0.8.
- BTTS rates of 60% for Kilmarnock and 60% for ST Mirren show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 58% for Over 2 sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Kilmarnock and 40% for ST Mirren, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Over 2.5 Goals. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Kilmarnock and 40% for ST Mirren, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Key Data Signals
Over 2 evidence
Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Kilmarnock and 40% for ST Mirren, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Kilmarnock are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with ST Mirren at 0.8.
BTTS rates of 60% for Kilmarnock and 60% for ST Mirren show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 2 notes
- Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
- The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Continue the research
Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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