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Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock
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Raith Rovers crestRaith Rovers

League Cup | Tue 14 Jul, 19:45

Kilmarnock v Raith Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Tue 14 Jul 2026, 10:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kilmarnock face Raith Rovers in a League Cup fixture that promises attacking intent from both sides. Raith Rovers arrive with strong recent form, including a 3-1 win and a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting an open game. Kilmarnock's data is limited but their League Cup involvement and home advantage add intrigue. The match could see end-to-end action as both teams look to assert themselves early in the season, making goal-scoring opportunities likely in this contest.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Raith Rovers have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.
  • Average goals in last six head-to-heads is 2.83, indicating frequent scoring.
  • Raith Rovers scored 3 goals and conceded 1 in their latest game, showing attacking and defensive openness.
  • Kilmarnock data is limited but home advantage may encourage attacking play.
  • League Cup fixtures often produce open games with multiple goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 78% chance for over 2.5 goals, driven by Raith Rovers' recent attacking form and high scoring matches between these teams. The average 2.83 goals in their last six meetings supports an expectation of multiple goals. While Kilmarnock's data is limited, the League Cup context and Raith Rovers' offensive output create a compelling case for a goal-rich encounter. The current price does not indicate overvaluation, making this a solid standard-stake selection.

Raith Rovers recent over 2.5 rate100% in recent matches
Strong positive
H2H average goals2.83 goals per match
Positive
Kilmarnock data availabilityLimited data points
Neutral
Competition contextLeague Cup tends to be open and attacking
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking League Cup match with Raith Rovers' recent form suggesting multiple goals. The head-to-head average goals underline a tendency for scoring, while Kilmarnock's home role may encourage offensive play. This match has the ingredients for a lively encounter with over 2.5 goals likely.

Main risk

The limited data on Kilmarnock means defensive solidity is less certain, so unexpected tactical changes or a cautious approach could reduce goal volume.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“Raith Rovers' attacking momentum and the historical goal averages between these teams point towards a lively, high-scoring fixture. Despite limited data on Kilmarnock, the League Cup setting usually encourages open play, making over 2.5 goals a sensible expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Raith Rovers have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.

Average goals in last six head-to-heads is 2.83, indicating frequent scoring.

Raith Rovers scored 3 goals and conceded 1 in their latest game, showing attacking and defensive openness.

Kilmarnock data is limited but home advantage may encourage attacking play.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last six head-to-head matches average 2.83 goals, a clear indicator of frequent scoring between these teams.
  • This recent trend over multiple encounters suggests a pattern of open play and goal opportunities, supporting the over 2.5 goals market in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 57% · edge +20.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Raith Rovers to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Raith Rovers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Kilmarnock Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Kilmarnock to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The over 2.5 goals market is well supported by a 78% , indicating a strong likelihood of multiple goals. The absence of price warnings suggests this is a fair value bet rather than a speculative play, with Raith Rovers' attacking form and the competition style underpinning the pricing.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kilmarnock-
Avg goals scored
Raith Rovers3
Kilmarnock-
Avg goals conceded
Raith Rovers1
Kilmarnock-
BTTS rate
Raith Rovers100%
Kilmarnock-
Over 2.5 goals
Raith Rovers100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 57% · edge +20.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Raith Rovers' recent matches have consistently produced over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, highlighting an open attacking style. The average of 2.83 goals in their last six meetings with Kilmarnock further confirms a trend towards high-scoring encounters, making goals and BTTS plausible outcomes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kilmarnock

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Kilmarnock yet.

Raith Rovers

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
11 Jul 2026H Elgin City3-1
Best odds for this sectionRaith Rovers to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 24% · edge +46.2 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Raith Rovers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Kilmarnock Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Kilmarnock to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Raith Rovers' recent form includes a 3-1 victory and a perfect record for over 2.5 goals, indicating strong offensive momentum. Kilmarnock's form data is sparse, but their involvement in the League Cup and home advantage suggest they will seek to respond aggressively, supporting an expectation of multiple goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Kilmarnock wins
2Draws
3Raith Rovers wins
26 Jul 2023Kilmarnock v Raith Rovers2-2
29 Apr 2022Raith Rovers v Kilmarnock1-1
02 Mar 2022Kilmarnock v Raith Rovers1-2
19 Feb 2022Kilmarnock v Raith Rovers3-0
11 Dec 2021Raith Rovers v Kilmarnock1-0
02 Oct 2021Kilmarnock v Raith Rovers1-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 57% · edge +20.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Raith Rovers to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 21%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Kilmarnock to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The six previous meetings between Kilmarnock and Raith Rovers have averaged nearly three goals per game, demonstrating a history of open contests. This historical data supports expectations for a match with multiple goals, aligning well with the over 2.5 goals selection.
Season team stats

League Cup

Kilmarnock0
Played
Raith Rovers1
Kilmarnock0
Avg goals for
Raith Rovers3
Kilmarnock0
Avg goals against
Raith Rovers1
Kilmarnock0
Clean sheets
Raith Rovers0
Best odds for this sectionRaith Rovers to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 24% · edge +46.2 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Raith Rovers Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Kilmarnock Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Kilmarnock to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season-long data for Raith Rovers shows a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting an attacking approach and defensive openness. Kilmarnock's limited season data means caution is warranted, but the overall trend supports a goal-rich game environment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Kilmarnock Over 2.5
100%Raith Rovers Over 2.5
2.83H2H avg goals
The last six head-to-head matches average 2.83 goals, a clear indicator of frequent scoring between these teams. This recent trend over multiple encounters suggests a pattern of open play and goal opportunities, supporting the over 2.5 goals market in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.