Football Stats Hub

Juventus crestJuventus
v
Lazio crestLazio

Serie A | Sun 18 Oct, 19:45

Juventus v Lazio Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 17:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juventus face Lazio in Serie A on Sun 18 Oct, 19:45. Juventus have scored in nearly every home game, while Lazio have scored at least twice in four straight league matches. Juventus vs Lazio Preview: Unbeaten Visitors Test Juve's Home Resolve in Turin.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Loses if either team keeps a clean sheet or if the match ends in a 0-0 draw

  • At 1.91, Loses if either team keeps a clean sheet or if the match ends in a 0-0 draw implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 40%.
  • Over 2.5 Goals: This selection requires at least three total goals to be scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Juventus and 60% for Lazio, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Lazio are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Juventus at 1.6.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Juventus and 60% for Lazio show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Price warning

Loses if either team keeps a clean sheet or if the match ends in a 0-0 draw is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 52% while the model sits nearer 40% (-12.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.91.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 40% for Loses if either team keeps a clean sheet or if the match ends in a 0-0 draw sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Juventus and 60% for Lazio, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Over 2.5 Goals: This selection requires at least three total goals to be scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Model chance vs price40% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Negative
The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Juventus and 60%.Visible data support
Positive
Lazio are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.Visible data support
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals: This selection requires at least three.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because over 2.5 Goals: This selection requires at least three total goals to be scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Juventus and 60% for Lazio, so the goals angle is not just a price call. The primary risk to this selection comes from Lazio's impressive away defensive record, having conceded just once and kept two clean sheets on their travels.

Main risk

The primary risk to this selection comes from Lazio's impressive away defensive record, having conceded just once and kept two clean sheets on their travels.

Key Data Signals

Loses if either team keeps a clean sheet or if the match ends in a 0-0 draw evidence

Over 2.5 Goals: This selection requires at least three total goals to be scored in 90 minutes plus.

The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Juventus and 60% for Lazio, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Lazio are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Juventus at 1.6.

BTTS rates of 60% for Juventus and 60% for Lazio show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Loses if either team keeps a clean sheet or if the match ends in a 0-0 draw notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juventus1.6
Avg goals scored
Lazio2
Juventus1
Avg goals conceded
Lazio0.8
Juventus60%
BTTS rate
Lazio60%
Juventus20%
Over 2.5 goals
Lazio60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 52% · edge -12.2 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 20% for Juventus and 60% for Lazio, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 52% · edge -12.2 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Lazio Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Lazio to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Juventus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juventus

DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
11 Oct 2026A Cagliari1-1
20 Sep 2026H Atalanta2-0
13 Sep 2026A Sassuolo2-3
06 Sep 2026H AC Milan1-1
29 Aug 2026H Parma2-0

Lazio

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 0L
11 Oct 2026H Monza3-1
19 Sep 2026A Venezia2-0
12 Sep 2026H AC Milan2-2
07 Sep 2026A Udinese2-1
30 Aug 2026H Genoa1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Lazio Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Lazio to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Juventus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Juventus to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Juventus Over 2.5
60%Lazio Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Juventus sit at 20% and Lazio sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…