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Juventus crestJuventus
v
Fiorentina crestFiorentina

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 11:00

Juventus v Fiorentina Stats

Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 09:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juventus face Fiorentina in Serie A on Sun 17 May, 11:00. Juventus have conceded just one goal in their last six matches, producing six clean sheets in seven league outings. Juventus have lost only once at home all season, while Fiorentina arrive having failed to score in three consecutive matches.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • At 1.7, BTTS No implies roughly 59%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • This market requires the selected team to win the match while also keeping a clean sheet.
  • Juventus show a 20% BTTS rate and Fiorentina show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Juventus average 1 goals scored and Fiorentina average 0.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for BTTS No sits against roughly 59% implied by the current price. Juventus show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Fiorentina show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. This market requires the selected team to win the match while also keeping a clean sheet.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 59% implied
Positive
Juventus show a 20% BTTS rate and Fiorentina show a.Visible data support
Positive
Juventus average 1 goals scored and Fiorentina average 0.4, so.Visible data support
Positive
This market requires the selected team to win the.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because this market requires the selected team to win the match while also keeping a clean sheet. Juventus show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Fiorentina show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The atmosphere may not always explode into chaos, but there is a cold efficiency about Juventus at home.

Main risk

The atmosphere may not always explode into chaos, but there is a cold efficiency about Juventus at home.

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

This market requires the selected team to win the match while also keeping a clean sheet.

Juventus show a 20% BTTS rate and Fiorentina show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Juventus average 1 goals scored and Fiorentina average 0.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Juventus6.4
Avg corners for
Fiorentina4.6
Juventus9.8
Avg total corners
Fiorentina9
Juventus1.8
Avg yellow cards
Fiorentina2.2
Juventus15
Avg shots
Fiorentina10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 46% · edge +11.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionsJuventus v Fiorentina predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juventus1
Avg goals scored
Fiorentina0.4
Juventus0.2
Avg goals conceded
Fiorentina1
Juventus20%
BTTS rate
Fiorentina20%
Juventus0%
Over 2.5 goals
Fiorentina20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +8.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Juventus to WinBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Juventus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Fiorentina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Fiorentina Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juventus

WDDWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 4D 0L
09 May 2026A Lecce1-0
03 May 2026H Hellas Verona1-1
26 Apr 2026A AC Milan0-0
19 Apr 2026H Bologna2-0
11 Apr 2026A Atalanta1-0

Fiorentina

DLDDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
10 May 2026H Genoa0-0
04 May 2026A AS Roma0-4
26 Apr 2026H Sassuolo0-0
20 Apr 2026A Lecce1-1
13 Apr 2026H Lazio1-0
Best odds for this sectionFiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Juventus to WinBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Juventus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Fiorentina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Juventus wins
3Draws
2Fiorentina wins
22 Nov 2025Fiorentina v Juventus1-1
16 Mar 2025Fiorentina v Juventus3-0
29 Dec 2024Juventus v Fiorentina2-2
07 Apr 2024Juventus v Fiorentina1-0
05 Nov 2023Fiorentina v Juventus0-1
12 Feb 2023Juventus v Fiorentina1-0
Best odds for this sectionJuventus to WinBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 75% · edge -2.6 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Fiorentina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for Juventus to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie A

Juventus38
Played
Fiorentina38
Juventus1.6
Avg goals for
Fiorentina1.1
Juventus0.9
Avg goals against
Fiorentina1.3
Juventus16
Clean sheets
Fiorentina10
Best odds for this sectionFiorentina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Juventus to WinBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Juventus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Fiorentina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
Season data supports Fiorentina Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Juventus69381912727
15Fiorentina423891514-9
Juventus sit in position 6, while Fiorentina sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the BTTS No assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Juventus Over 2.5
20%Fiorentina Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Juventus sit at 0% and Fiorentina sit at 20% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Juventus v Fiorentina prediction

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Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionsJuventus v Fiorentina predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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