Football Stats Hub

Junior crestJunior
v
Cerro Porteno crestCerro Porteno

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Fri 08 May, 03:00

Junior v Cerro Porteno Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 04:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Junior face Cerro Porteno in CONMEBOL Libertadores on Fri 08 May, 03:00. Junior come in with 1 recent points and 0.33 goals per match, while Cerro Porteno have 4 points and 0.67 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Cerro Porteno to Win

  • At 4, Cerro Porteno Win implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Cerro Porteno have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Junior.
  • Cerro Porteno have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Cerro Porteno Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Cerro Porteno Win sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. Cerro Porteno have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Junior.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Strong positive
Cerro Porteno have the stronger recent points return, taking 4.Visible data support
Positive
Cerro Porteno have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Cerro Porteno Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Cerro Porteno have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Junior. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Cerro Porteno Win evidence

Cerro Porteno have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Junior.

Cerro Porteno have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Cerro Porteno Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Cerro Porteno Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Junior0.33
    Avg goals scored
    Cerro Porteno0.67
    Junior1.33
    Avg goals conceded
    Cerro Porteno0.67
    Junior33%
    BTTS rate
    Cerro Porteno33%
    Junior0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Cerro Porteno0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 25% · edge +30.5 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 49%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Junior

    LLD
    Last 50W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 2L
    29 Apr 2026A Sporting Cristal0-2
    14 Apr 2026A Cerro Porteno0-1
    09 Apr 2026H Palmeiras1-1

    Cerro Porteno

    DWL
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    30 Apr 2026H Palmeiras1-1
    14 Apr 2026H Junior1-0
    09 Apr 2026A Sporting Cristal0-1
    Market aligned with main pickCerro Porteno to WinBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 25% · edge +34.5 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.84
    Check odds @ 1.84
    Cerro Porteno Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Cerro Porteno1364114
    4Junior46114-6
    CONMEBOL Libertadores standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCerro Porteno to WinBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 25% · edge +34.5 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Cerro Porteno Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Cerro Porteno to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Junior2.67
    Avg corners for
    Cerro Porteno2.67
    Junior10.33
    Avg total corners
    Cerro Porteno7
    Junior1.67
    Avg yellow cards
    Cerro Porteno2
    Junior10.33
    Avg shots
    Cerro Porteno7.33
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 50% · edge +11.9 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Junior wins
    0Draws
    1Cerro Porteno wins
    14 Apr 2026Cerro Porteno v Junior1-0
    Market aligned with main pickCerro Porteno to WinBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 25% · edge +34.5 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Cerro Porteno to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    CONMEBOL Libertadores

    Junior6
    Played
    Cerro Porteno6
    Junior0.8
    Avg goals for
    Cerro Porteno1
    Junior1.8
    Avg goals against
    Cerro Porteno0.3
    Junior0
    Clean sheets
    Cerro Porteno4
    Market aligned with main pickCerro Porteno to WinBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 25% · edge +34.5 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Cerro Porteno Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Season data supports Cerro Porteno to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Junior Over 2.5
    0%Cerro Porteno Over 2.5
    1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Junior sit at 0% and Cerro Porteno sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre