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Jordan crestJordan
v
Algeria crestAlgeria

World Cup | Tue 23 Jun, 04:00

Jordan v Algeria Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Jordan face Algeria in World Cup on Tue 23 Jun, 04:00. Group J Pressure Cooker at Levi’s Stadium. Having held Argentina to 1-0 at half-time, they have the tools to control possession and pierce a Jordan backline that leaked three goals in their opening matchup against Austria.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Jordan Win

  • At 4/7, Jordan Win implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 51%.
  • Both sides conceded three goals in their openers, exposing defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Jordan have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Jordan Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Jordan Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 64% while the model sits nearer 51% (-13 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 1.91.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 51% for Jordan Win sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Jordan have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Jordan Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Both sides conceded three goals in their openers, exposing defensive vulnerabilities.

Model chance vs price51% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Negative
Jordan have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Both sides conceded three goals in their openers, exposing.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Jordan Win is the preferred angle because both sides conceded three goals in their openers, exposing defensive vulnerabilities. Jordan have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Jordan Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Yet the bigger concern was how often they were forced backwards, how long they had to defend, and how late they were in registering serious attacking threat.

Main risk

Yet the bigger concern was how often they were forced backwards, how long they had to defend, and how late they were in registering serious attacking threat.

Key Data Signals

Jordan Win evidence

Both sides conceded three goals in their openers, exposing defensive vulnerabilities.

Jordan have the cleaner defensive sample at 3 conceded per match, which helps the Jordan Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Jordan Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Jordan3
    Avg corners for
    Algeria2
    Jordan7
    Avg total corners
    Algeria4
    Jordan0
    Avg yellow cards
    Algeria0
    Jordan11
    Avg shots
    Algeria7
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
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    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Jordan1
    Avg goals scored
    Algeria0
    Jordan3
    Avg goals conceded
    Algeria3
    Jordan100%
    BTTS rate
    Algeria0%
    Jordan100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Algeria100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 77% · edge +11.1 pts
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickJordan to WinBetUK guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Jordan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Jordan to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Jordan

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    17 Jun 2026A Austria1-3

    Algeria

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    17 Jun 2026A Argentina0-3
    Market aligned with main pickJordan to WinBetUK guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
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    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 55%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Jordan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Jordan wins
    0Draws
    0Algeria wins
    Market aligned with main pickJordan to WinBetUK guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 65%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Jordan to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Jordan3
    Played
    Algeria4
    Jordan1
    Avg goals for
    Algeria1.3
    Jordan2.7
    Avg goals against
    Algeria2.3
    Jordan0
    Clean sheets
    Algeria0
    Market aligned with main pickJordan to WinBetUK guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Jordan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Season data supports Jordan to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Algeria43111-2
    4Jordan03003-5
    6Algeria43111-2
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Jordan Over 2.5
    100%Algeria Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Jordan sit at 100% and Algeria sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.