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Inter Miami crestInter Miami
v
Chicago Fire crestChicago Fire

Major League Soccer | Thu 23 Jul, 00:30

Inter Miami v Chicago Fire Stats

Data last updated: Mon 17 Aug 2026, 16:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Inter Miami face Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer on Thu 23 Jul, 00:30. Hugo Cuypers has scored 48% of Chicago’s 27 league goals, underlining both his importance and the scale of Miami’s defensive assignment. Chicago Fire’s unbeaten six-match away streak and strong defensive organization complement their attacking threat led by Hugo Cuypers.

BT4Y best bet

Chicago Fire to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • At 10/1, Chicago Fire to Win & Both Teams to Score implies roughly 9%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 24%.
  • The balance of Miami’s conceded goals and Cuypers’ scoring influence supports a close 2-1 result.
  • Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Chicago Fire.
  • Inter Miami sit 2 in the table, while Chicago Fire sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 24% for Chicago Fire to Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 9% implied by the current price. Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Chicago Fire. The balance of Miami’s conceded goals and Cuypers’ scoring influence supports a close 2-1 result.

Model chance vs price24% model chance against roughly 9% implied
Strong positive
Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 12.Visible data support
Positive
Inter Miami sit 2 in the table, while Chicago Fire.Visible data support
Positive
The balance of Miami’s conceded goals and Cuypers’ scoring.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Inter Miami Win is the preferred angle because the balance of Miami’s conceded goals and Cuypers’ scoring influence supports a close 2-1 result. Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Chicago Fire. That chaos is entertaining, but it also exposes the central tension within Miami’s approach.

Main risk

That chaos is entertaining, but it also exposes the central tension within Miami’s approach.

Key Data Signals

Chicago Fire to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

The balance of Miami’s conceded goals and Cuypers’ scoring influence supports a close 2-1 result.

Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Chicago Fire.

Chicago Fire have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Inter Miami Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Inter Miami sit 2 in the table, while Chicago Fire sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Chicago Fire to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Inter Miami4
    Avg goals scored
    Chicago Fire2
    Inter Miami2.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Chicago Fire1.6
    Inter Miami80%
    BTTS rate
    Chicago Fire80%
    Inter Miami80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Chicago Fire80%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Inter Miami6.8
    Avg corners for
    Chicago Fire6
    Inter Miami9.6
    Avg total corners
    Chicago Fire12.2
    Inter Miami3.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Chicago Fire2.8
    Inter Miami18.6
    Avg shots
    Chicago Fire17.8

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Inter Miami

    WWWWL
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 3D 1L
    25 May 2026H Philadelphia Union6-4
    17 May 2026H Portland Timbers2-0
    14 May 2026A FC Cincinnati5-3
    09 May 2026A Toronto FC4-2
    03 May 2026H Orlando City SC3-4

    Chicago Fire

    WWWLL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    24 May 2026H Toronto FC2-1
    16 May 2026A CF Montreal2-0
    14 May 2026A DC United3-1
    09 May 2026H New York Red Bulls1-3
    03 May 2026H FC Cincinnati2-3

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Inter Miami wins
    2Draws
    5Chicago Fire wins
    01 Oct 2025Inter Miami v Chicago Fire3-5
    13 Apr 2025Chicago Fire v Inter Miami0-0
    01 Sep 2024Chicago Fire v Inter Miami1-4
    21 Jul 2024Inter Miami v Chicago Fire2-1
    05 Oct 2023Chicago Fire v Inter Miami4-1
    25 Mar 2023Inter Miami v Chicago Fire2-3

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    Inter Miami19
    Played
    Chicago Fire18
    Inter Miami2.4
    Avg goals for
    Chicago Fire1.9
    Inter Miami1.9
    Avg goals against
    Chicago Fire1.3
    Inter Miami4
    Clean sheets
    Chicago Fire6

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    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Inter Miami3819115310
    3Chicago Fire3218102610
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Inter Miami Over 2.5
    80%Chicago Fire Over 2.5
    3.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Inter Miami sit at 80% and Chicago Fire sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

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