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Independiente del Valle crestIndependiente del Valle
v
Libertad Asuncion crestLibertad Asuncion

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Wed 20 May, 03:00

Independiente del Valle v Libertad Asuncion Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.95, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 51% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 63%, so the current line is showing a +11.2-point value edge.
  • Independiente del Valle have scored in 50% of the recent sample and Libertad Asuncion have scored in 50%, with BTTS rates of 50% and 50%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Independiente del Valle have taken 2 wins from their last 4 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Libertad Asuncion have taken 0 wins from their last 4 matches, with BTTS landing in 50% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.95, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.16
Bet HERE @ 1.16
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

50%Independiente del Valle Over 2.5
50%Libertad Asuncion Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Independiente del Valle

LWWD
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
06 May 2026A UCV0-2
28 Apr 2026A Libertad Asuncion3-2
16 Apr 2026H UCV3-1
09 Apr 2026A Rosario Central0-0

Libertad Asuncion

LLLL
Last 50W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 4L
05 May 2026A Rosario Central0-1
28 Apr 2026H Independiente del Valle2-3
15 Apr 2026H Rosario Central0-1
09 Apr 2026A UCV1-3
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.08
Bet HERE @ 1.08
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.16
Bet HERE @ 1.16
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Independiente del Valle1.5
Avg goals scored
Libertad Asuncion0.75
Independiente del Valle1.25
Avg goals conceded
Libertad Asuncion2
Independiente del Valle50%
BTTS rate
Libertad Asuncion50%
Independiente del Valle50%
Over 2.5 goals
Libertad Asuncion50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 51% · edge +11.2 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1Independiente del Valle wins
0Draws
0Libertad Asuncion wins
28 Apr 2026Libertad Asuncion v Independiente del Valle2-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 51% · edge +11.2 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Independiente del Valle7.25
Avg corners for
Libertad Asuncion3.5
Independiente del Valle10.25
Avg total corners
Libertad Asuncion7.75
Independiente del Valle1.5
Avg yellow cards
Libertad Asuncion2.75
Independiente del Valle21.25
Avg shots
Libertad Asuncion10.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 58% · edge +5 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleD. Reasco Anytime GoalscorerD. Reasco · 0 goals · 9 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
D. Reasco 1+ Shot On TargetD. Reasco · 9 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
D. Reasco 2+ ShotsD. Reasco · 18 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
A. Rodríguez To Assist / Key Pass AngleA. Rodríguez · 1 assists · 3.18 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
I. Ramírez To Be FouledI. Ramírez · 4.17 fouls won/90
75/100
Bet HERE
G. Aguilar Card RiskG. Aguilar · 2 yellows · 3.8 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
D. Reasco
D. ReascoIndependiente del Valle · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9018
SOT /909
C. González
C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle · Attacker
Goal threat98/100
Shots /903.88
SOT /902.07
L. Melgarejo
L. MelgarejoLibertad Asuncion · Attacker
Goal threat80/100
Shots /903.08
SOT /901.71
A. Rodríguez
A. RodríguezIndependiente del Valle · Attacker
Goal threat32/100
Shots /903.18
SOT /900.71
G. Aguilar
G. AguilarLibertad Asuncion · Attacker
Goal threat6/100
Shots /901.27
SOT /900
J. Angulo
J. AnguloIndependiente del Valle · Attacker
Goal threat12/100
Shots /903
SOT /900
P. Villalba
P. VillalbaLibertad Asuncion · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independiente del Valle4
Played
Libertad Asuncion4
Independiente del Valle1.5
Avg goals for
Libertad Asuncion0.8
Independiente del Valle1.3
Avg goals against
Libertad Asuncion2
Independiente del Valle1
Clean sheets
Libertad Asuncion0
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.16
Bet HERE @ 1.16
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9.5
Bet HERE @ 9.5
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Independiente del Valle742111
4Libertad Asuncion04004-5

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

Our football stats hub is built for punters who want to go deeper than basic predictions. Every day, BettingTips4You brings together data-led match analysis for fixtures across the biggest leagues and competitions, helping readers compare teams, spot trends and understand the numbers behind every game before making a betting decision.

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For every game available, you can explore detailed match data designed to support smarter analysis. This includes how often teams score and concede, whether they tend to start quickly or finish strongly, how reliable they are at home or away, and which betting markets appear most aligned with the numbers.

Key Betting Markets Covered

These insights can be especially useful when assessing popular football betting markets such as Match Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under Goals, Double Chance, Draw No Bet and Bet Builder selections.

Football betting is rarely about one statistic in isolation. A team may look strong in the league table but struggle away from home. Another side may be inconsistent overall but create high shot volume, win corners regularly or score in most home fixtures. Our match stats help bring those details into focus, allowing you to see the wider picture before looking at prices.

Data That Supports Our Predictions

The daily stats hub also supports our broader football predictions coverage. Where our match previews provide expert opinion and editorial betting insight, this page gives you the deeper numbers behind the fixtures.

That combination of data and analysis helps readers understand not just what the suggested bet is, but why it may make sense based on the available evidence.

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Practical Stats, Not A Wall Of Numbers

Our approach is practical rather than overwhelming. Football data can quickly become a wall of numbers, so we focus on stats that are useful for betting analysis: goal averages, recent trends, scoring patterns, defensive records, fixture context and market relevance.

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