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Independ. Rivadavia crestIndepend. Rivadavia
v
Fluminense crestFluminense

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Thu 07 May, 01:30

Independ. Rivadavia v Fluminense Stats

BT4Y best bet

Independ. Rivadavia to Win

  • At 2.38, Independ. Rivadavia to Win is priced at roughly 42% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 74%, so the current line is showing a +32-point value edge.
  • Independ. Rivadavia have a recent record of 3W-0D-0L, while Fluminense come in at 0W-1D-2L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Independ. Rivadavia to Win angle: Independ. Rivadavia have taken 3 wins from their last 3 matches, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Independ. Rivadavia to Win angle: Fluminense have taken 0 wins from their last 3 matches, with BTTS landing in 33% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.38, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +32 pts
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

67%Independ. Rivadavia Over 2.5
33%Fluminense Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Independ. Rivadavia

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
30 Apr 2026H Deportivo La Guaira4-1
16 Apr 2026A Fluminense2-1
07 Apr 2026H Bolívar1-0

Fluminense

LLD
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
30 Apr 2026A Bolívar0-2
16 Apr 2026H Independ. Rivadavia1-2
07 Apr 2026A Deportivo La Guaira0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +32 pts
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Independ. Rivadavia2.33
Avg goals scored
Fluminense0.33
Independ. Rivadavia0.67
Avg goals conceded
Fluminense1.33
Independ. Rivadavia67%
BTTS rate
Fluminense33%
Independ. Rivadavia67%
Over 2.5 goals
Fluminense33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 51% · edge +9.9 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1Independ. Rivadavia wins
0Draws
0Fluminense wins
16 Apr 2026Fluminense v Independ. Rivadavia1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +32 pts
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Independ. Rivadavia3.67
Avg corners for
Fluminense3.33
Independ. Rivadavia5
Avg total corners
Fluminense5.33
Independ. Rivadavia2
Avg yellow cards
Fluminense1.33
Independ. Rivadavia10.67
Avg shots
Fluminense15
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleA. Arce Anytime GoalscorerA. Arce · 4 goals · 1.52 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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John Kennedy 1+ Shot On TargetJohn Kennedy · 2.29 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
A. Arce 2+ ShotsA. Arce · 3.42 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
S. Villa To Assist / Key Pass AngleS. Villa · 2 assists · 2.9 key passes/90
73/100
Bet HERE
S. Villa To Be FouledS. Villa · 1.61 fouls won/90
67/100
Bet HERE
E. Bonifacio Card RiskE. Bonifacio · 2 yellows · 1.84 fouls/90
79/100
Bet HERE
A. Arce
A. ArceIndepend. Rivadavia · Attacker
Goal threat96/100
Shots /903.42
SOT /901.52
S. Villa
S. VillaIndepend. Rivadavia · Midfielder
Goal threat54/100
Shots /902.26
SOT /901.61
Guilherme Arana
Guilherme AranaFluminense · Defender
Goal threat49/100
Shots /902.48
SOT /901.65
John Kennedy
John KennedyFluminense · Attacker
Goal threat36/100
Shots /903.05
SOT /902.29
J. Savarino
J. SavarinoFluminense · Midfielder
Goal threat40/100
Shots /902.51
SOT /901.67
E. Bonifacio
E. BonifacioIndepend. Rivadavia · Defender
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
M. Fernández
M. FernándezIndepend. Rivadavia · Midfielder
Goal threat15/100
Shots /901.12
SOT /900.37
F. Bernal
F. BernalFluminense · Midfielder
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.94
SOT /900.97
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Independ. Rivadavia3
Played
Fluminense3
Independ. Rivadavia2.3
Avg goals for
Fluminense0.3
Independ. Rivadavia0.7
Avg goals against
Fluminense1.3
Independ. Rivadavia1
Clean sheets
Fluminense1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 42% · edge +32 pts
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Independ. Rivadavia933005
4Fluminense13012-3

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.