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IFK Goteborg crestIFK Goteborg
v
FC Levadia Tallinn crestFC Levadia Tallinn

UEFA Europa Conference League | Tue 21 Jul, 18:00

IFK Goteborg v FC Levadia Tallinn Stats

Data last updated: Sun 23 Aug 2026, 11:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IFK Goteborg face FC Levadia Tallinn in UEFA Europa Conference League on Tue 21 Jul, 18:00. Levadia have scored 13 goals across their three Conference League qualifying matches this season, conceding only once.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Over 2

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 64%, above the 27% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 57/100, Over 2 implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • They must overturn a one-goal deficit while carrying one of the poorest defensive sequences in the contest.
  • FC Levadia Tallinn have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for IFK Goteborg.
Price warning

Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 64% while the model sits nearer 27% (-36.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 1.65.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Over 2 sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. FC Levadia Tallinn have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for IFK Goteborg. They must overturn a one-goal deficit while carrying one of the poorest defensive sequences in the contest.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Negative
FC Levadia Tallinn have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
They must overturn a one-goal deficit while carrying one.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: IFK Goteborg Win is the preferred angle because they must overturn a one-goal deficit while carrying one of the poorest defensive sequences in the contest. FC Levadia Tallinn have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for IFK Goteborg. The step up against Goteborg was significant, but Vjatseslav Zahovaiko’s side adapted.

Main risk

The step up against Goteborg was significant, but Vjatseslav Zahovaiko’s side adapted.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

They must overturn a one-goal deficit while carrying one of the poorest defensive sequences in the contest.

FC Levadia Tallinn have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for IFK Goteborg.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 70% · edge -43.4 pts
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.24
    Check odds @ 1.24
    IFK Goteborg to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    IFK Goteborg-
    Avg goals scored
    FC Levadia Tallinn5
    IFK Goteborg-
    Avg goals conceded
    FC Levadia Tallinn0
    IFK Goteborg-
    BTTS rate
    FC Levadia Tallinn0%
    IFK Goteborg-
    Over 2.5 goals
    FC Levadia Tallinn100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    IFK Goteborg

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for IFK Goteborg yet.

    FC Levadia Tallinn

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    16 Jul 2026H Caernarfon Town5-0
    09 Jul 2026A Caernarfon Town5-0
    Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 70% · edge -43.4 pts
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Load more odds for this section
    IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.24
    Check odds @ 1.24
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0IFK Goteborg wins
    0Draws
    0FC Levadia Tallinn wins
    Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 70% · edge -43.4 pts
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for IFK Goteborg to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    UEFA Europa Conference League

    IFK Goteborg4
    Played
    FC Levadia Tallinn4
    IFK Goteborg1.3
    Avg goals for
    FC Levadia Tallinn3.3
    IFK Goteborg1.3
    Avg goals against
    FC Levadia Tallinn1
    IFK Goteborg0
    Clean sheets
    FC Levadia Tallinn2
    Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 70% · edge -43.4 pts
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Load more odds for this section
    IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.24
    Check odds @ 1.24
    Season data supports IFK Goteborg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -IFK Goteborg Over 2.5
    100%FC Levadia Tallinn Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    They must overturn a one-goal deficit while carrying one of the poorest defensive sequences in the contest.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    IFK Goteborg v FC Levadia Tallinn prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

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