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Hull City crestHull City
v
Millwall crestMillwall

Championship | Fri 08 May, 20:00

Hull City v Millwall Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 03:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hull City face Millwall in Championship on Fri 08 May, 20:00. Keeping eleven clean sheets across 23 league matches at home has been the platform for their third-place finish. Millwall are unbeaten in six matches and have won four of their last six at The Den without conceding.

BT4Y best bet

Hull City Win

  • At 5/1, Hull City Win implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Millwall have kept eleven clean sheets at home this season and produced the clearer openings in the first leg.
  • Millwall have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Hull City.
  • Millwall have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Hull City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Hull City sit 6 in the table, while Millwall sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Hull City Win sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Millwall have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Hull City. Millwall have kept eleven clean sheets at home this season and produced the clearer openings in the first leg.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Positive
Millwall have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points.Visible data support
Positive
Millwall have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Millwall have kept eleven clean sheets at home this.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hull City Win is the preferred angle because millwall have kept eleven clean sheets at home this season and produced the clearer openings in the first leg. Millwall have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Hull City. The Lions do not always overwhelm opponents with relentless attacking football, but they are extremely difficult to break down once they establish rhythm and territory.

Main risk

The Lions do not always overwhelm opponents with relentless attacking football, but they are extremely difficult to break down once they establish rhythm and territory.

Key Data Signals

Hull City Win evidence

Millwall have kept eleven clean sheets at home this season and produced the clearer openings in the first.

Millwall have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Hull City.

Millwall have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Hull City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Hull City sit 6 in the table, while Millwall sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Hull City Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hull City1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Millwall1.6
    Hull City1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Millwall0.4
    Hull City100%
    BTTS rate
    Millwall40%
    Hull City80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Millwall20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Championship fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Hull City v Millwallcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 33% · edge -6.3 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Hull City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Hull City to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Hull City5.2
    Avg corners for
    Millwall7.6
    Hull City13.6
    Avg total corners
    Millwall13.8
    Hull City3.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Millwall2
    Hull City13.4
    Avg shots
    Millwall15.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 62% · edge +10.1 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hull City

    WLDDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    02 May 2026H Norwich2-1
    25 Apr 2026A Charlton1-2
    21 Apr 2026A Leicester2-2
    18 Apr 2026H Birmingham1-1
    11 Apr 2026A Sheffield Utd1-2

    Millwall

    WDWWD
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    02 May 2026H Oxford United2-0
    24 Apr 2026A Leicester1-1
    21 Apr 2026A Stoke City3-1
    18 Apr 2026H QPR2-0
    10 Apr 2026A West Brom0-0
    Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 33% · edge -6.3 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Hull City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.56
    Check odds @ 1.56
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Hull City wins
    3Draws
    2Millwall wins
    07 Mar 2026Hull City v Millwall1-3
    13 Dec 2025Millwall v Hull City1-3
    18 Jan 2025Millwall v Hull City0-1
    24 Aug 2024Hull City v Millwall0-0
    03 Feb 2024Hull City v Millwall1-0
    07 Oct 2023Millwall v Hull City2-2
    Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 33% · edge -6.3 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Hull City to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Championship

    Hull City49
    Played
    Millwall48
    Hull City1.5
    Avg goals for
    Millwall1.3
    Hull City1.3
    Avg goals against
    Millwall1.1
    Hull City14
    Clean sheets
    Millwall19
    Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 33% · edge -6.3 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Hull City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Hull City to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Millwall834624111115
    6Hull City73462110154
    Hull City sit in position 6, while Millwall sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Hull City Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Hull City Over 2.5
    20%Millwall Over 2.5
    2.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hull City sit at 80% and Millwall sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Hull City v Millwall prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    Championship hubChampionship fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Hull City v Millwallcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre